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Rubio struggles to leave immigration fights behind as 2016 looms

Marco Rubio is still choosing where to go in 2016: The Senate or the White House. One thing that definitely won’t be joining him is his old immigration bill.
U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) (C) shakes hands before the start of the State of the Union speech in the House chamber of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 20, 2015 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty)
U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) (C) shakes hands before the start of the State of the Union speech in the House chamber of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 20, 2015 in Washington, DC.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio says he’s still choosing where to go in 2016: The Senate or the White House. But one thing that definitely won’t be coming with him is his old immigration bill. 

"Both of those avenues have their own set of opportunities that are alluring, but ultimately I know I need to make a decision in due time if I want to be able to mount a credible campaign for the presidency -- which I believe we can do irrespective of who else is in the race,” Rubio, a Republican, told reporters on Wednesday at a breakfast hosted by the Christian Science Monitor. Rubio reiterated that he will not seek re-election in the Senate if he commits to a presidential run.

Rubio co-authored the bipartisan immigration bill that passed the Senate in 2013, but the move whipped up a backlash from the right and his position in 2016 primary polls has never recovered. These days, he believes that “tactical reality” calls for increasing border security, opening up more immigrants to deportation, and cracking down on employers who hire undocumented workers before moving onto any legislation that would allow undocumented immigrants to stay in America.

"I’ve never believed that somehow we need to do immigration reform in order to win an election,” Rubio said. “On the contrary, I’ve always seen the potential pitfalls politically for someone to get involved in the issue and I’ve experienced it myself.”

"Ultimately I know I need to make a decision in due time if I want to be able to mount a credible campaign for the presidency."'

Asked how he might distinguish himself from governors like Scott Walker of Wisconsin or longtime political ally Jeb Bush who served two terms as governor of Florida, Rubio indicated his experience on foreign policy would give him an edge. 

"I think for governors that's going to be a challenge, at least initially, because they don't deal with foreign policy on a daily basis," Rubio said. 

Rubio’s candidacy, along with Bush’s, would be heavily tied to immigration reform, an issue where both have broken with many in their party to demand a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants.

"I think that most people understand that most of them are going to be here for the rest of their lives,” Rubio said.

The increasingly hardline GOP looks eager to oblige Rubio's enforcement-first approach. This month, the Republican-controlled House passed legislation to undo a new move by President Obama to protect up to five million undocumented immigrants from deportation, halt a similar 2012 program for DREAMers -- immigrants brought to the country as children -- and forbid immigration authorities from prioritizing criminals for removal over otherwise law-abiding immigrants. Twenty-six House Republicans broke with their party on the DREAMer portion of the bill, but Rubio said he believed the program, known as DACA, should not accept new applications and eventually expire altogether. 

After Romney lost in 2012, thanks in part to disastrous margins with Latino voters in states like Florida, Rubio warned Republicans that voters would not listen to the party “if they think you want to deport their grandmother.” On Wednesday, however, he told reporters he objected to the idea the party’s recent deportation push jeopardized their standing.

“I don’t agree that Hispanics view that position as hostile,” Rubio said. “This notion that somehow Hispanics don’t want the law enforced or law to exist on immigration less than the general population is not true.”

Immigration may be the biggest hurdle to Rubio in a presidential election, but it’s hardly his only policy focus. He’s spent much of the last two years working on a still-unreleased plan with Senator Mike Lee to expand middle class tax credits and exploring policies to lower barriers for workers looking to obtain an education.

Today, Rubio looks prescient as both parties are turning their attention to wage stagnation and poverty. Obama included a proposal of his own to expand family tax credits in his State of the Union speech, but broke with Republicans like Rubio in suggesting it be paid for by taxing wealthy investors.

“We’re close to coming out with our proposal and I think there are areas like on the child tax credit where we can work together,” Rubio told msnbc.

Part of the new emphasis on poverty and working class issues is a reaction to Romney’s 2012 loss. Many in the GOP argue he alienated voters by putting too much emphasis on business owners and elevating Obama's "You didn't build that" moment into a campaign centerpiece. Rubio, for his part, said he didn’t blame Romney’s “47%” tape or other rhetorical stumbles for his loss.

“I don’t think those were the determining factors at the end of the day,” he said, instead crediting Obama’s turnout operation with the win. The president also narrowly carried Rubio's own state of Florida.

Still, while stressing he wasn’t singling out Romney, he added: “It’s certainly not helpful to be viewed as someone who doesn’t care about – or understand -- people like you.”