Democratic Primary - Iowa Caucus open thread

Updated
 

As MSNBC extends its special coverage of the Iowa caucus with a two-hour preview show hosted by Rachel Maddow and Brian Williams beginning at 8pm ET on Sunday, and live rolling coverage on Monday from 6pm to well past midnight, we offer this page as a place to discuss the Democratic race in Iowa.

The latest Des Moines Register/Bloomberg poll results:

  • Clinton 45% (+3)
  • Sanders 42% (+2)
  • O’Malley 3% (-1)

Fresh Democratic headlines:

The Rachel Maddow Show, 1/31/16, 9:29 PM ET

Clinton makes closing arguments for Iowa

Hillary Clinton, Democratic front-runner for the presidential nomination in 2016, talks with Rachel Maddow and Brian Williams about tomorrow’s Iowa caucuses and how the race against Senator Bernie Sanders is shaping up for the upcoming primary elections.

The Rachel Maddow Show, 1/31/16, 8:42 PM ET

Sanders on Trump: 'I will beat him, and I will beat him badly'

Bernie Sanders, Democratic candidate for president, talks with Chris Hayes about the upcoming Iowa caucuses, the shape of his campaign in early primary states, and his chances against Donald Trump in a general election match-up.

Iowa Caucuses - Historical Context (compiled by Steve Benen)

  • In the modern era, cycles in which there were competitive caucuses in both parties at the same time are surprisingly common. It happened in 1976, 1980, 1988, 2000, 2008, and now 2016.
  • Among Iowa Democrats, voters have sided with the eventual nominee five times (1980, 1984, 2000, 2004, and 2008), but the eventual president just once (2008).
  • Among Iowa Republicans, voters have sided with the eventual nominee four times (1976, 1996, 2000, and 2004), but the eventual president just once (2000).
  • Among Iowa Democrats, the worst-ever showing for an eventual nominee was third place (Dukakis in 1988).
  • Among Iowa Republicans, the worst-ever showing for an eventual nominee was fourth place (McCain in 2008).
  • Among Democrats, only two candidates won Iowa and New Hampshire in the same cycle (Gore in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). Among Republicans, no candidate has ever won both Iowa and New Hampshire in the same cycle.

Democratic Primary - Iowa Caucus open thread

Updated