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Monday's Campaign Round-Up, 9.15.14

Today's installment of campaign-related news items from across the country.
Today's installment of campaign-related news items that won't necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
* In the latest Pew Research Center poll, Democrats lead Republicans by five (47% to 42%) among registered voters, but Republicans lead Democrats by three (47% to 44%) among likely voters. Dems just don't seem ready to show up in the fall.
* In Georgia's U.S. Senate race, the latest Atlanta Journal Constitution poll shows David Perdue (R) leading Michelle Nunn (D) by four, 45% to 41%, among likely voters. The same poll showed incumbent Gov. Nathan Deal (R) leading Jason Carter (D) by just one point, 43% to 42%.
* In North Carolina, all the recent polling has shown incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan (D) with a small-but-steady lead over Thom Tillis (R). The latest is a new poll from Elon University, which shows Hagan up by four, 44% to 40%.
* I find it very hard to believe, but a new CNN poll in New Hampshire shows Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) tied with former Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.), 48% each, among likely voters. The same poll showed the incumbent up by seven among registered voters.
* Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton appeared at the Iowa Steak Fry yesterday, sounding very much like a candidate. "I'm ba-ack!" she told the 7,000 attendees.
* Speaking of Iowa, Politico ran a piece over the weekend noting that "anxiety is rising within Republican ranks" about the U.S. Senate race in the Hawkeye State.
* In Kentucky, Alison Lundergran Grimes (D) has a new TV ad showing her skeet shooting. Taunting Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R), she says into the camera, "Mitch, that's not how you hold a gun."
* Though nearly all recent polling in Illinois has shown Gov. Pat Quinn (D) struggling in his re-election bid, a new Chicago Tribune poll shows him with a big lead over Bruce Rauner (R), 48% to 37%. As always, beware of outliers.
* And in California, a ballot measure intended to carve the state into six separate states has failed to qualify for the 2016 ballot. Billionaire Tim Draper invested $5.2 million in the idea (thanks to reader R.S. for the heads-up).