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Tuesday's Campaign Round-Up, 11.3.20

Today's installment of campaign-related news items from across the country.


Today's installment of campaign-related news items from across the country.

* In Pennsylvania, arguably this year's most important swing state, the final NBC News/Marist poll found Joe Biden leading Donald Trump, 51% to 46%, which is roughly in line with most of the recent data out of the Keystone State.

* In Arizona, another key 2020 battleground that backed the Republican ticket four years ago, the NBC News/Marist poll found Trump and Biden tied, with each garnering 48% support.

* In Florida, the final Quinnipiac poll showed Biden hanging onto his lead, 47% to 42%, over the Republican incumbent.

* In Ohio, which has backed the eventual presidential winner in every election since 1964, the Quinnipiac poll found Biden with a slightly smaller advantage, 47% to 43%.

* At the national level, meanwhile, the Quinnipiac poll found Biden with a double-digit lead over Trump, 50% to 39%.

* Though the campaign obviously ends today, the New York Times reports that the president's political operation "is raising money for a prolonged political and legal fight long after Nov. 3 and recently began automatically checking a box to withdraw additional weekly contributions from online donors through mid-December — nearly six weeks after Election Day."

* After coming in close contact with someone who tested positive for the coronavirus, Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) might not be able to vote: he requested an absentee ballot late last week, which is likely to be too late. That said, both of Georgia's closely watched U.S. Senate races may end up going to run-off elections, which the Republican governor would be able to participate in.

* The final FiveThirtyEight election forecast shows Biden with an 89% chance of winning the presidential election. For context, I'll note that the final FiveThirtyEight forecast four years ago showed Hillary Clinton with a 71.4% chance of winning.

* On a related note, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, a project at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, released its final forecast and predicts Biden will win with 321 electoral votes. Four years ago, it projected Hillary Clinton would win with 322 electoral votes.