Doug Jones officilly won in Senate Race Transcript 12/28/17 Hardball with Chris Matthews

Guests:
Catherine Rampell
Transcript:

Show: HARDBALL
Date: December 28, 2017
Guest: Catherine Rampell

ARI MELBER, MSNBC HOST, THE BEAT: It has some of the best moments of the
year. A look at what Bob Mueller taught Donald Trump with new analysis and
a collection of some of the worst dad jokes I have told on air. My
producers actually made us make a reel. I`m not joking but it is about
jokes. That`s tomorrow 6:00 p.m. eastern. Please check it out.

Our show is over. “Hardball” with Chris Matthews starts now.

STEVE KORNACKI, MSNBC HOST: Flipping on Flynn? Let`s play “Hardball.”

And good evening. I`m Steve Kornacki in for Chris Matthews who was on
vacation.

The President`s lawyers are responding to the “Washington Post” report that
the President may ultimately turn on his former national security adviser,
Michael Flynn, who pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI earlier this month.
As the most senior former Trump adviser who is known to be cooperating with
investigators, Flynn could potentially help prosecutors land an even bigger
fish in their ongoing probe and that could possibly pose a significant
threat to the President himself.

Now as the Post revealed yesterday, if Flynn does ultimately implicate the
President or others around him, then the President`s legal team is
apparently set to portray one of Trump`s former closest advisers as a liar
who is out to save his own neck, referring to Flynn`s admitted crime. One
person who helped craft this strategy said, he said it himself, he is a
liar.

Today the President`s lawyers are pushing back though. In a statement to
MSNBC news, attorney John Dowd slammed the Post`s report as complete
nonsense and more fake news. This is the same legal team that has assured
the President and others that the Mueller investigation would soon be
winding down.

However, there are signs to the contrary. Axios is reporting that quote
“members of Robert Mueller`s team have begun reaching out to former
Republican national committee staff who were familiar with the digital
operations of the Trump campaign. The goal as Yahoo! reports is quote “to
determine if the joint effort was related to the activities of Russian
trolls and bots aimed at affecting the American electorate.

This month, Trump attorney Ty Cobb also declared that all, the White House
interviews with the special counsel`s team are over. However, former FBI
official and Mueller colleague telling “USA Today” I would be shocked if
Mueller was done with the White House inner circle. All of these
indictments, guilty pleas and interviews could be just round one.

Joining me is Jonathan Swan, national political reporter with Axios. Julia
Yaki is a staff writer at the “Atlantic” Julia Ioffe and Barry Grissom is a
former U.S. attorney. Thanks to all of you for joining.

Barry, the resident former prosecutor here, let me start with you. So you
have this report from the “Washington Post” saying that if Michael Flynn
ultimately says President Trump or someone immediately around him committed
wrongdoing, the strategy will be to say that Flynn is lying. You have
Trump`s lawyer now out there saying this is garbage. This is fake news.
What do you make of that denial? Do you take that as this strategy is off
the table? How do you interpret that?

BARRY GRISSOM, FORMER U.S. ATTORNEY: Well, the strategy really is defense
counsel 101. I mean, there`s no adage in the law that when you have the
law on your side, you pound on it. And when you have the facts on your
side you pound on the facts. And when you have neither you pound on the
table.

And what it sounds to me is if this effort to discredit General Flynn is
really, as I said, a very basic defense tactic. You know, when lawyers
make representations to their client that certain things will end by a
certain time, the only lawyers in the team that knows anything about when
something is going to end are the prosecutors because they are the ones who
are collecting the evidence. They are compiling their witness statements
and they are doing their work in front of the grand jury. And I think it`s
very risky if you are a defense counsel and you tell your client that an
investigation is going to end by a certain time certain.

KORNACKI: Jonathan, Barry makes the case that in one sense this is
lawyering 101. I certainly makes sense to me. If someone goes and accuses
you of a crime you don`t think you committed or you don`t want people to
know you committed you say the person is lying. The Trump lawyer though
today coming out and saying that report is fake news, what do you make of
that?

JONATHAN SWAN, POLITICAL REPORTER, AXIOS: Right. Well, I mean, they have
to. They are not going to say, oh, actually, yes, we have this great plan
to undercut Michael Flynn, which we`re going to deviously roll out over the
next six weeks.

The interesting thing to me is when that story ran Ty Cobb declined to
comment. So he had an opportunity to deny it in the story and he didn`t.
But just sort of pulling back, I think a much more interesting point is
that it`s a question that a lot of people close to the situation are asking
themselves is why did Mueller allow for this prosecutorial vulnerability?
Because that`s what it is. He could have charged Flynn on any number of
things and he chose to make it this one thing lying to the FBI which really
does give a very big free kick to the opposition that can say, well, he
lied about this, he could lie – how can you trust anything he has to say?
So it actually is a bit of vulnerability for the prosecution.

[19:05:21] KORNACKI: And Julia, in terms of the timing here, I think one
of the questions this raises is are we looking at just sort of a basic
potential legal strategy, a contingency scenario that the Trump team is
preparing for? Or is there a more specific reason why they`re now talking
about this apparently? Has something happened since that plea a few weeks
ago in exchange they are thinking about Flynn`s role in all of this?

JULIA IOFFE, STAFF WRITER, THE ATLANTIC: Well, I can`t – I can`t speak to
the change in their thinking, but I think it fits overall with Trump`s
broader strategy, which is any time he disagrees with somebody or he
doesn`t like the criticism leveled at him he calls it fake news and he
attacks the credibility bearer of that news.

His administration has already gone after Mike Flynn. If you recall, Ty
Cobb, one of the President`s lawyers, the day of the plea bargain, Mike
Flynn`s plea bargain, he referred in his statement to Mike Flynn as an
Obama administration official already trying to put distance between them.
So I think this is maybe the least surprising news we have seen about the
Mueller investigation.

The other thing I would say is that this is part of a parcel of, you know,
the broader Republican attacks on Mueller, on the integrity of the people
working on his team possibly preparing the base and in general the American
public to not believe and to question the credibility of any indictments or
conclusions that might come out of that investigation.

KORNACKI: As you mentioned, there is a precedent if this were to be the
direction this ultimately goes, if the President and his team were
ultimately to be out there calling Flynn a liar, it wouldn`t be the first
time he was trying to distance himself from former advisors who have been
snared in the special counsel. You can take a look here at how the
President defended Paul Manafort last February and then watch what he said
in November after Manafort`s indictment.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

DONALD TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: That`s Mr. Manafort who is,
by the way, a respected man. And he said that he has absolutely nothing to
do and never has with Russia. And he said that very forcefully. I saw his
statement.

You know, Paul was not there very long. What people don`t mention, Paul
was not there for a very long period of time.

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: What was it that convinced you that he had to be let
go?

TRUMP: Well, I think we found out something about he may be involved with
all – with certain nations and I don`t even know exactly what it was in
particular.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KORNACKI: Trump also once praised his former adviser George Papadopoulos
as an excellent guy. That was in an interview in March of 2016. Take a
listen.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

TRUMP: George Papadopoulos, he is an oil energy consultant, excellent guy.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KORNACKI: Then after Papadopoulos began cooperating with investigators
President Trump said quote “few people knew the young low level volunteer
named George who has already proven to be a liar.

Barry, let me ask you. Again, playing this out here because we are on sort
of, you know, contingency speculation here. But if this does go to a
scenario where Flynn is saying if Trump committed wrongdoing, somebody
immediately around Trump committed wrongdoing, the vulnerability that
Jonathan is talking about there where Flynn has admitted and pleaded to
lying to the FBI, if the Trump argument with Flynn implicating him then
becomes, hey, this guy is an admitted liar, he is cut some kind of deal
with prosecutors to save himself, to save his son, he will say anything to
get off the hook, he will say anything to get off lightly. Strategically,
legally how much success is a strategy like that likely to have?

GRISSOM: Well, that type of strategy would probably be more successful if
it were in a vacuum by itself. But what we have in this particular
instance as your film clips just showed, we have the President being his
own worst enemy. When the President vouches for General Flynn even on the
day he was terminating him as a good guy, as an honorable person. He is
really his own worst enemy when we try to affect the credibility of General
Flynn.

The thing that bothers me most about this line or this strategy, if we
forget for a moment Republicans, Democrats, what this really is, is an
assault on our institution of justice. Long after these folks are gone, I
think I saw a Gallup poll that says 30 percent of the people still believe
President Obama was born in another country. This kind of assault upon the
integrity of the department of justice, the justice system as a whole is
going to be an institutional wound that if the FBI agent is out there
testifying some place, there may be some folks who are still sitting on
that jury years removed from now who remember this time frame and remember
how this President attacked the credibility of one of the great law
enforcement entities and agencies in the world.

So that really bothers me more than just this President and these
individuals. I think there is a much larger issue at play here than merely
the personalities we are talking about today.

[19:10:18] KORNACKI: Jonathan, you are well-sourced within this
administration. We played the - and we showed the some of the examples
there, the folks around Trump have been talking up the idea that his probe
is not long for this world. It is going wrap up soon. There had been
predictions here they haven`t born out. What is the current thinking?
What is your sense of the current thinking in Trump Land about where this
is heading, about the timeline, about their exposure here? What is your
sense of that?

SWAN: Well, you have to separate Ty Cobb, you know, the legal team from
the people inside the White House who really know nothing and they are just
listening to the legal team with varying degrees of skepticism. And then
you have people in the course all that outside many of whom are more
pessimistic.

But I spoke to Ty Cobb about this couple of weeks ago. And the way he laid
it out was he said, yes, the investigation will continue. And he uses the
word silos. He says there are two silos, the Flynn silo and the Manafort
silo. And they will continue. But the White House, you know, that will
all be wrapped up and he has moved the timeline. He initially said
thanksgiving and he said the end of the year. The last time I spoke to Ty
Cobb he said, you know, early next year.

But I can tell you, you know, once you go one ring out from that there is a
lot of skepticism that this will be cleanly wrapped up with a bow, you
know, by the end of January.

KORNACKI: And Julia, the other wild card is trying to put yourself in the
shoes of Michael Flynn. Yet his brother on twitter the other day saying,
Mr. President, pardon my brother. You had Trump until now at least
publicly and still publicly, we should say, Trump`s posture has been a
pretty friendly and generous one. But now you are reading, hey, look, they
are worried you are going to say something and they are ready to go after
you. What does this have to do with Flynn`s thinking, his calculation,
thinking, how he approaches it?

IOFFE: Well, again, I think it would be purely speculative. But if I`m
Michael Flynn and I`m watching this guy throw me under the bus more I might
talk more.

The other thing is we have to keep in mind the issue of Michael Flynn is an
important one because if you recall, one of the reasons that Trump – or
shortly before Trump fired the FBI director Jim Comey, he said he pressured
him to go easy on Michael Flynn so Michael Flynn also holds the key to a
very important aspect of President Trump and whether or not he obstructed
justice.

KORNACKI: All right. Julia Ioffe, Barry Grissom, and Jonathan Swan, great
insight from all of you. Thank you for joining us.

And coming up, Roy Moore`s last stand. The Alabama Republican made a last
ditch effort to throw out the results of this month`s special election even
claiming he had taken a polygraph test to show the allegations of sexual
misconduct against him are false.

Plus, Trump closing out the year by launching a twitter attack against
“Vanity Fair” magazine and Hillary Clinton. It is never feud in the year
like I sure seen plenty of them from Trump`s battles with the media to
Congress to those behind the Russia probe.

And we are going to take a look at the year ahead for Republicans and
Democrats on Capitol Hill. Can Republicans get another big win under their
belts after that tax plan and will Democrats see a wave election in 2018 or
are they at risk of overplaying their hand?

And finally, the “Hardball” round table is here to tell me something I
don`t know.

This is “Hardball” where the action is.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

[19:17:03] KORNACKI: Hey, welcome back to “Hardball.”

Roy Moore isn`t quite the distant memory some Republicans were hoping for,
at least not yet. Earlier today Alabama officials rejected a lawsuit
brought by the former Republican candidate alleging that voter fraud took
place in this month`s special election citing what he claimed were election
experts, Moore`s campaign claimed that quote “with a reasonable degree of
statistical and mathematical certainty election fraud occurred.”

And as a result this campaign called on the secretary of state to delay
certification until a thorough investigation is completed.

Janet Porter, Roy Moore`s spokeswoman, had this warning for the secretary
of state in Alabama and that state`s governor ahead of the certification.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

UNIDENTIFIED FEMALE: I was secretary of state, well I would like to get to
the bottom of it no matter who it is that I supported. Because here is a
thing that governor Ivy needs to know. She is up for reelection, too. And
by the way, if they can steal the election from Roy Moore, Governor Ivy,
they can steal from you.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KORNACKI: And Republican Alabama secretary of state Jon Merrill was
undeterred at 2:10 eastern this afternoon the election board certified
Democrat Doug Jones as the official winner of the election. Senator-elect
Jones issued this statement.

I am looking forward to going to work for the people of Alabama in the New
Year. I will be an independent voice and work to find common ground with
my colleagues on both sides of the aisle to get Washington back on track
and fight to make our country a better place of all.

Jones is to be sworn in by vice president Mike Pence next week. Despite
all of that, Roy Moore still refuses to concede. In a statement he says I
have stood for the truth about God and the constitution. I have no
regrets. To God be the glory.

For more I`m joined by Kyle Whitmire, a state political columnist for the
Alabama Media Group. Aisha Moodie-Mills, Democratic Strategist and the
former Republican congressman from Florida, Dave Jolly.

Kyle on the ground in Alabama, let me start with you. So look. There
wasn`t much – there didn`t seem to be anything of these claims of election
fraud. Election officials, Republicans in your state dismissed them out of
hand. So the election is over as far as they are concerned.

I`m curious about the politics in Alabama. Roy Moore was able to win the
Republican nomination down there. He is refusing to concede. His
spokesman said, boy, these Republicans are making a big mistake here. Are
Republican voters prepared to move on from this election or are they going
to be just like Roy Moore and say, hey, this thing was stolen?

KYLE WHITMIRE, STATE POLITICAL COLUMNIST, ALABAMA MEDIA GROUP: I think
this has been a great demonstration of why Roy Moore was unfit for this
office to begin with. And I think that a lot of Republican voters who
might have been on the fence, maybe even some who voted for Roy Moore in
this election are going to change their minds about him because of the way
that he has played this thing out.

Look, it was – it was a narrow win for Doug Jones but it was not like, you
know, something we saw in Virginia where it`s going to come down to a coin
flip. This was one-half percent difference. And it wasn`t, you know,
while that might look close, it`s not close enough to trigger a recount.
And the only thing they have are all these bogus claims of voter fraud. It
just looks childish. It looked petulant. It looked to be, you know, he
looked to be a sore loser. And I don`t think anybody in Alabama,
Republican, Democrat, independent, wants to be associated with that.

KORNACKI: David Jolly, put yourself, if you could, in the shoes,
strategically speaking, of Mitch McConnell here looking at that Senate
battleground for 2018.

So, on the one hand, he loses a Senate seat in Alabama. His margin in the
Senate with this certification, it`s 51/49. It`s razor-thin right now. On
the other hand, Roy Moore is not going to be in Washington next year as a
leading member of the national Republican Party.

Is that a better outcome strategically for McConnell?

DAVID JOLLY (R), FORMER U.S. CONGRESSMAN: Of course.

Yes, look, it`s the best possible outcome, is to have Roy Moore and the
horse he rode in on a distant memory of national politics, right?

But, listen, the problem for Republicans and for Mitch McConnell is that
there are more Steve Bannon crazy Republican candidates right around the
corner. Steve, you know these races. Look, Michael Grimm in New York, who
just got out of federal prison, who threatened to throw a reporter off a
balcony.

Paul Nehlen in Wisconsin, who is challenging Paul Ryan from the right and
has now been caught up in anti-Semitic and white nationalist tweets. Kelli
Ward in Arizona, who has suggested that because John McCain is sick, he
should resign and she should take his seat.

The Steve Bannon wing of the Republican Party survives the defeat of Roy
Moore. So Roy Moore is done in terms of national politics, but this whole
division within the Republican Party and the Steve Bannon-ism is still
going to be a chokehold around Mitch McConnell`s neck going into 2018.

KORNACKI: Aisha, as a Democrat, I`m curious how you think about that,
because we have seen this in the past few years, these Republican
primaries.

We were calling it the Tea Party a few years ago. Establishment figures
got knocked off in these Republican primaries by candidates who couldn`t
win races the party is never supposed to lose. Democrats, looking ahead to
2018, looking ahead at that difficult Senate map, is that a big part of the
Democratic thinking strategically now, we`re going to benefit from
Republicans doing in other states what they just did in Alabama?

AISHA MOODIE-MILLS, DEMOCRATIC STRATEGIST: Well, absolutely.

They have been on a pathway to self-destruction, I believe, and that`s what
we`re seeing playing out. I think the big thing for the Democrats to take
away from this is that they need to trust black women. Right? Black women
won this election.

There was a knee-jerk reaction to want to kind of deviate away from the
core base of the party, which is the beautiful multiethnic race of the
party, and, like, figure out how the Democrats go back and get those white
guys in Wisconsin, for example, who didn`t show up for Hillary Clinton.

And what we see in Alabama, what we saw in Virginia and what the reality is
that, as long as the Democrats stay true to their values of inclusion, of
bringing all the people under the tent and to the table, they will win time
and time again, even in those red states.

And so I think the lesson to be learned is that, as we go out and we fight
these 2018 battles, we need to make sure that we`re doing it the way the
Democrats know how to run the playbook, that we bring black people, that we
bring Latino people, that we bring young people into the process in an
authentic way.

We will win every time and defeat all of this bigotry that is really
running rampant within the Republican Party.

KORNACKI: Kyle, something you said a minute ago struck me, that maybe this
moment with Roy Moore refusing to concede, claiming election fraud, may be
sort of an aha moment for Republicans in Alabama, where they say, maybe we
don`t need to go down this road again.

I`m curious. Roy Moore is 70 years old. We have seen him in the past
decade-and-a-half. He`s been thrown off the state Supreme Court twice. He
keeps coming back. He was on the brink of a Senate seat this year. Do you
think there`s a political future for him at all, or is this the last
chapter?

WHITMIRE: I think he`s done.

He`s still going to have his core base of devout followers. But beyond
that, his ceiling has always been his floor, and his floor has always been
his ceiling. And that`s what really caught him in this election.

Look, if he had had a strong opponent, not Luther Strange, he would not
have been in this race, right. If Mitch McConnell had not tried to get
involved in this race and force Luther Strange on Alabama Republican voters
in the primary, and allowed someone like Del Marsh, our Senate – our state
Senate majority leader, to run, and not blackballed campaign operatives who
were working for other candidates, there might be a Republican, another
Republican in the Senate next week.

And I think that is going to be something that a lot of people are going to
remember here. But as far as Roy Moore is concerned, look, he`s already
embarrassed Alabama enough. I think a lot of Republican voters last – two
weeks ago now voted for Doug Jones.

This guy is through. Any time he steps back up to the plate, people are
going to say, remember, there`s a Democrat in the Senate right now because
of Roy Moore. We don`t want to be associated with him ever again.

KORNACKI: And, David, what I`m hearing Kyle say, I`m thinking back,
though, over the last six or seven years. I feel around the country at
different points we have heard versions of that.

JOLLY: Sure.

KORNACKI: If only Republicans in Delaware had nominated Mike Castle in
that Senate race in 2010, that`s not a loss. If only they hadn`t gone with
Mourdock over Lugar in Indiana, not a loss.

JOLLY: Todd Akin in Missouri.

KORNACKI: Is there a point where this – is there a point where pragmatism
starts to win out with these things, because it feels to me like there`s
this anti-establishment energy that`s just unabated in this party for
almost a decade now.

JOLLY: This is the problem with the Republican Party right now. And it`s
the angry base that has captured – captured it. And Mitch McConnell is
right.

Listen, if you`re not a good candidate, then you don`t get to make policy
in Washington, D.C. We`re going to continue to see these candidates.

To the earlier comment, all of the energy, all of the energy right now is
in the left. The left cannot wait to vote in November of `18. And that
left is a very multicultural, diverse left.

And one of the funniest things that came out of that Tuesday night in
Alabama is when Roy Moore said, God is in control. And somebody said,
rightfully, he didn`t realize that that Tuesday night in Alabama, God was
an African-American woman.

(LAUGHTER)

JOLLY: Going into November of `18, Republicans cannot hold a diverse
constituency across the country. And they`re going to lose because of it.

KORNACKI: It one of those – becoming a truism in politics, nothing
motivates the base of one party like the other party controlling everything
in politics.

JOLLY: That`s right.

KORNACKI: We may be seeing another version of that.

Kyle Whitmire in Alabama, Aisha Moodie-Mills up here in New York, former
Congressman David Jolly, thanks to all of you for joining all us.

And up next: President Trump`s feud with Hillary Clinton still going
strong. We are going to take a look at Trump`s latest salvo. That is
straight ahead.

This is HARDBALL, where the action is.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

MILISSA REHBERGER, MSNBC CORRESPONDENT: I`m Milissa Rehberger. Here`s
what`s happening.

In Erie, Pennsylvania, people are digging out from a record 65 inches of
snowfall. And there is more to come. Forecaster predict another 16 inches
over the weekend.

Police are ramping up security in Times Square in what is expected to be a
very cold New Year`s Eve celebration. Revelers can expect bomb-sniffing
dogs, snipers, and bag checks. Temperatures could dip down to 10 degrees.

Apple has apologized for its decision to slow down older iPhones to protect
battery stability. The tech giant has offered discounted battery
replacements for anyone with an iPhone 6 starting in late January – back
to HARDBALL.

KORNACKI: Welcome back to HARDBALL.

Donald Trump`s latest feud is with the magazine “Vanity Fair.”

This morning, the president tweeted: “`Vanity Fair,` which looks like it is
on its last legs, is bending over backwards in apologizing for the minor
hit they took at crooked Hillary. Anna Wintour, who was all set to be
ambassador to the Court of St. James and a big fund-raiser for crooked
Hillary, is beside herself in grief and begging for forgiveness.”

The apology Trump mentioned was for a video showing editors offering mock
advice to Hillary Clinton, including a line that maybe she should take up
knitting.

It`s not clear exactly why the president weighed in on the controversy this
morning, but it certainly fits a pattern.

Since taking office, the president has feuded with senators, the press,
actors, athletes, and the Justice Department.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

DONALD TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: A lot of people are
disappointed in the Justice Department, including me.

He came out with this horrible book. And I said, who is this guy? His
poll numbers are terrible. He`s done terribly for the great people of
Arizona.

I noticed that Chuck Schumer yesterday with fake tears. I`m going to ask
him, who is his acting coach?

We have a representative in Congress who they say was here a long time ago.
They call her Pocahontas.

UNIDENTIFIED MALE: You heard what he said yesterday, Senator McCain.

TRUMP: Yes. Well, I hear it. And people have to be careful because, at
some point, I fight back. I`m being very nice. I`m being very nice. But
at some point, I fight back. And it won`t be pretty.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KORNACKI: President Trump also called his own attorney general
beleaguered. He said Senator Bob Corker was a lightweight and incompetent.
He attacked the leadership ability of the mayor of San Juan in the wake of
a hurricane there.

He said football players who kneel during the anthem were showing total
disrespect for our great country. He called LaVar Ball, the father of a
basketball player detained in China, an ungrateful fool after he attacked
the president. He called “Saturday Night Live” not funny and really bad
television. He even said that Meryl Streep was one of the most overrated
actresses in Hollywood.

For more on all of this, I`m joined by Jason Johnson, politics editor at
The Root and an MSNBC contributor.

And, Jason, maybe – we tried to take maybe the big-picture look at all of
this. We`re a year in. I think we weren`t sure, when Donald Trump was
elected – I know, in an interview right after the election last year, he
said, I`m probably not going to tweet at all.

Safe to say this has been institutionalized as part of this presidency. We
can certainly look at his poll numbers and say there`s a good reason to
believe that speaking this way, tweeting this way is negatively affecting
his numbers.

We have never seen anything like this. I`m wondering, though, is there
also something in this formula? When you look at the support that he does
have…

JASON JOHNSON, MSNBC CONTRIBUTOR: Right.

KORNACKI: … this does seem connected somehow. There is something here
in terms of the appeal that he does have to a certain type of voter, I
guess.

JOHNSON: Well, it`s true.

But, honestly, Steve, all we have to do is go back to what Trump was saying
when he was running for president last year. There`s a certain segment of
people in America that Donald Trump could run down the street and shoot
somebody in Times Square, and they would still support him.

So it doesn`t matter if he tweeted all the time. It doesn`t matter if he
tweeted nice things. It doesn`t matter if he tweeted mean things. There`s
about 35, 37 percent of the U.S. population that are going to love Donald
Trump no matter what he does.

But it`s everybody else in the country who tends to find the tweets
distracting and disturbing.

And I just want to point out that, earlier this year, when you had a lot of
people, a lot of analysts saying, oh, don`t worry, these Trump`s – they`re
strategic, it`s part of some three-dimensional chess that the president is
playing to distract us, no.

This is how he feels. This is his personal id on the computer. It`s not
to distract us from other policies. It`s because I really don`t think he
has anything else to do with his time.

KORNACKI: Well, it`s interesting, too, because before Donald Trump came
along, the eternal lament about politicians was, I wish they would stop
being so phony. I wish they would tell us what they really think. I`m
tired of these formulaic statements, very carefully practiced, very
carefully choreographed.

It seems now, this year is the year I`m hearing the exact opposite lament.
I miss those boring prewritten statements.

(LAUGHTER)

JOHNSON: Yes.

You know what? Everybody wishes babies could talk, until they start,
right? Once children start, you`re like, wait, I don`t want to keep
answering these questions from a 2-year-old.

The same thing about the president, right? Remember, I`m old enough to
remember back when Barack Obama was first elected and he was giving
speeches every other month. And people were saying, get back to work,
President Obama. Quit talking so much.

Well, the problem with Trump tweeting is not simply that he`s saying mean
things. It`s that his tweets are often – they`re inaccurate, they`re
hostile. They deliver information that is untrue. They attack other
countries.

The tweets don`t build anything that we actually need in this country. And
one thing, Steve, I think is real important to point out, these aren`t
feuds that we`re talking about here.

Like, a feud is like Golden State and the Cavs. Right? Those are teams
that are feuding. They`re fighting with each other.

Donald Trump simply picks targets and attacks them. He goes after people
who have never said nothing to him.

Yes, Jeff Flake has issues with Trump. Yes, Bob Corker has issues with
Trump. But Jeff Sessions has been nothing but loyal, and Donald Trump
still attacked him.

LaVar Ball has nothing to do with Trump, and the president still attacked
him. So, these are not feuds. These are the ranting and ravings of a
president who should be much more busy actually, I don`t know, working on
policy than attacking random people on Twitter.

KORNACKI: Well, as if on cue, just moments ago, we can tell you about this
one, President Trump tweeting, again minutes ago, about the weather.

He mocked out the concept of global warming because it`s cold outside, the
president writing: “In the East, it could be the coldest New Year`s Eve on
record. Perhaps we could use a little bit of that good old global warming
that our country, but not other countries, was going to pay trillions of
dollars to protect against. Bundle up.”

You know, Jason, on this show the other night, we had a guest who said,
what the president does on Twitter often is trolling. He puts stuff out
there to intentionally provoke and inflame his critics and to get a
reaction.

I read that tweet, I say, it seems like that that`s what he`s trying to do
there.

JOHNSON: Well, Steve, to me, it seems like this is another feud. The
president consistently has a feud with science and facts and common sense
and policy.

I don`t – I honestly don`t think it`s trolling. I don`t know think that
most of the things that President Trump does are because he`s trying to
inspire the ire of his enemies. I think it`s just honestly how he feels
and what he wants to say that time.

But it speaks to sort of this larger problem that we have here. Look,
whether or not you believe in global warming, even though there`s lots of
scientists who say it`s real, the issue is that global warming is not about
things getting hotter. It`s about more erratic weather.

It`s about having summertime temperatures in the middle of the winter and
having wintertime temperatures in the middle of the summer.

And the fact that the president, even if he`s attempting to mock the issue,
doesn`t seem to understand those basics is a reflection of the kinds of
problems that we have with this presidency.

We want you to at least be smart and witty if you`re going to troll people,
not sound like a fool.

KORNACKI: All right, Jason Johnson, thank you for joining us.

JOHNSON: Thank you.

KORNACKI: All right, up next: Trump and his fellow Republicans ended 2017
on a high note legislatively, passed that big tax reform plan. What is
their agenda, though, for 2018?

Trump plotting strategy with GOP leaders next week at Camp David. The
question is, can they all get on the same page?

You`re watching HARDBALL.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

STEVE KORNACKI, MSNBC HOST: Welcome back to HARDBALL.

Congressional Republicans notch their first big legislative win in 2017
with the passage of their tax plan. With 2018 just a few days away now,
the looming question is, what should they tackle next?

President Trump will meet with House Speaker Paul Ryan and Minority Mitch
McConnell next week to plan their agenda, but the congressional leaders
aren`t on the same page about where to go. On Wednesday, “Politico”
reported that McConnell and Ryan are at odds over entitlement reform,
writing that Ryan has detailed an ambitious effort to dramatically reshape
Medicare, Medicaid and welfare programs the GOP has targeted as right for
reform.

But here`s what McConnell told reporters last week.

(BEGIN VIDEO CLIP)

SEN. MITCH MCCONNELL (R-KY), MAJORITY LEADER: The sensitivity of
entitlements is such that you almost have to have a bipartisan agreement in
order to achieve a result.

(END VIDEO CLIP)

KORNACKI: McConnell is hoping Congress will have better luck with an
infrastructure package. The White House has indicated President Trump may
renew that push in 2018, although he`s also got his eye on Obamacare,
tweeting this week, quote: The Democrats and Republicans will eventually
come together and develop a great new health care plan. The president will
need to talk that over with McConnell. He said the Senate is moving on
from health care.

Let`s bring in the HARDBALL roundtable for tonight. Beth Fouhy, senior
editor for politics at NBC and MSNBC, Catherine Rampell, opinion columnist
for “The Washington Post”, and Nick Confessore is a political reporter for
“The New York Times”.

Beth, let me start with you. We know Paul Ryan`s dream has been
entitlement reform. We know Donald Trump campaigned saying, I`m not going
to touch this stuff. And clearly, Mitch McConnell is looking at that and
saying that`s a third rail. Stay away.

What`s going to give here?

BETH FOUHY, MSNBC SENIOR POLITICS EDITOR: Yes. And Democrats are not
going to help with any sort of entitlement reform the way that McConnell
just suggested that it would have to get down to be successful. No,
they`re in a real jam, Steve. Entitlement reform is likely to go forward
in any meaningful way. The infrastructure bill which President Trump has
said he wants to tackle this year perhaps should have been done last year
when he probably could have brought some Democrats aboard.

Typically, Republicans are not really excited about devoting billions of
dollars to these big capital projects. Now, a year later with so much bad
blood between Democrats and the White House, they`re not going to help with
that. Republicans are not likely to say, yes, let`s go throw billions of
dollars into roads and bridges. Plus, they just passed this tax cut which
basically blew a $1.5 trillion hole into the deficit. So, there`s really
not a lot of money left over for them to do a whole lot with
infrastructure.

KORNACKI: Yes, I think, Catherine, it becomes almost psychological
question for Republican lawmakers. It`s an election year, it`s a midterm
year. If they`re looking at the midterms in 2018 and saying, geez, look,
this isn`t looking good. This might be our last chance to do anything,
maybe it`s throw caution to the wind that you talk about something like
entitlement reform. You think Democrats passing Obamacare in 2010 knowing
it wasn`t polling too well. But if they think it`s salvageable for them
ultimately, the midterms probably a different political calculation.

CATHERINE RAMPELL, THE WASHINGTON POST: Well, if Paul Ryan is a fatalist,
maybe he will say it`s time to, yes, make my fantasy – my other fantasy
come true, not just tax cuts but entitlement reform.

You know, I`m into the optimistic actually that either of these major pie-
in-the-sky types of proposals will get through, because remember, there are
so many time sensitive issues that Republicans or Congress in general have
to deal with in the next couple of months. They have to actually fund to
the government because that`s coming up again. They only temporarily
funded it through January. They have to deal with the debt ceiling. They
have to deal with DACA. They have to deal with CHIP which was again only
temporarily funded.

So, all of that is going to tie up a lot of political capital. It`s hard
to imagine them really having the room to run with any of these other kinds
of proposals which as Beth mentioned have lots of their own problems.

KORNACKI: Yes, and, Nick, when you think back to tax reform, so much had
to line up for Republicans to get that through. There was just a sense of
urgency. We have to get something done. We have failed everywhere else.
This is the last chance.

There is a lot of consensus in general on the issues of taxes. Can you see
any issue, whether it`s infrastructure entitlements, anything else that
could get all those forces sort of merging together in 2018 today?

NICK CONFESSORE, THE NEW YORK TIMES: All of the above, in fact.

Look, they just passed an historically unpopular tax reform. So, why stop
now, right? They`ll go forward with this and they have the playbook from
tax reform, right? The playbook is draft the bill in secret, push it out
at the last minute, do it quickly, call it something else.

So, let`s say we`re going to save Medicare, when in fact they`re going to
cut Medicare. And they`ll do this. This is a good play to play. And it
worked.

We are the past where the goalkeeper is, you know, kind of madder and
scorekeeper madder. They can push through on this stuff.

KORNACKI: You think you can sneak through something on Medicare?

(CROSSTALK)

CONFESSORE: It could be as small changing the growth or doing chained CPI
on Social Security benefits, right? They can do all kinds of things. The
goal is to slowly change the goalposts and slowly shrink the spending
overtime.

RAMPELL: I disagree. I think taxes are a completely different ballpark
from entitlement reform because voters don`t generally turn out at the
polls or show up at town halls when it comes to taxes. I mean, maybe a few
very devoted ones who care about taxes like myself, but Medicare, that`s
completely different. You threaten to change the formula for Medicare, you
threaten to change funding for Medicare, that`s going to mobilize a lot of
old people and old –

KORNACKI: And I do get the sense, Beth, listening to Republicans in this.
I don`t know if they`re correct politically, if they`re correct in terms of
their calculation. I do get the sense that they genuinely feel opinion is
going to change on this tax bill once people start looking at their
paychecks next year, or maybe if the economy gets another burst of growth.
They sort of look up and say, well, things are good, whatever the
Republicans did must have been a good thing. I get the sense they do think
the politics are going to change.

FOUHY: Well, that`s the only thing that they`ve got. They have to believe
that because everything is looking so bad for them right now going into the
midterms in terms of the right track/wrong track polling. The country is
very unhappy with the direction of the country right now. Even with this
great economy, even with it booming, the stock market booming, almost
complete employment. We have a very unhappy population of people who do
not want to see these policies continue.

So, the only way the Republicans can hope to hang onto the majority in
Congress is to say, look at what we`ve done. Stick with us. The economy
is really strong. We did put the money back in your paycheck as you said.

These are policies that people can get behind. Maybe we can make a couple
of little reforms around the edges on some of these other things to put
money back into the economy. To stay with us, we`re the responsible party
whether you like Trump or not. That`s their only hope.

KORNACKI: Starting to have flashbacks, 1994, Democrats, Bill Clinton. The
economy was starting to turn around. They thought maybe that would make
the midterms not so bad, worse massacre in 40 years. Let`s see if history
repeats itself. We`re going to talk about that up next.

The roundtable is sticking with us. Democrats feeling emboldened heading
into 2018. They hope a wave election is coming, but are they relying too
much on anti-Trump sentiment?

You`re watching HARDBALL.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KORNACKI: A program note for you. Tomorrow, you can catch a special
edition of HARDBALL with Chris Matthews. Chris is going to be taking a
look back at some of the biggest stories of 2017 from the Russia
investigation to President Trump`s tumultuous investigation with his own
party. That is tomorrow night, 7:00 p.m., right here on MSNBC.

And we`ll be right back.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KORNACKI: Welcome back to HARDBALL.

Democrats are feeling emboldened as they head into 2018, aiming to take
back both the House and maybe even the Senate from Republicans. NBC News
reports that in every midterm election since the civil war, the president`s
party has lost on average 32 seats in the House and two in the Senate.
Next year`s battles, Democrats need 24 seats to flip the House, and two to
take back the Senate.

An “Economist”/YouGov poll out yesterday shows Democrats with an 8-point
lead over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot, another sign of
hope for Democrats in that same poll. The president`s approval rating
which stands at just 38 percent.

So, will 2018 usher in a Democratic wave?

I`m back here with the roundtable.

Nick, all these factors we`re trained to look at with midterm elections,
the approval rating, the generic ballot, just the fact that Republicans run
everything, the other party usually tends to do well. If you`re Republican
and you`re looking for some glimmer of hope that it`s not going to be that
bad, where`s the best place to look?

CONFESSORE: I think the economy. Look, if the economy is improving, stock
market is up, unemployment is up, of all those things are positive, I think
it`s very different. Now, you know, obviously, the president being a dead
weight for his party is a big deal. But if people are saying that the
economy is going well, jobs are improving, I think that is very helpful to
the Republicans.

CONFESSORE: And, Catherine, that`s one of the mysteries I guess of this
presidency, oddities at least, is if you look at the public`s assessment of
the economy, you`d normally expect the president and his party to be faring
a little better in polling.

RAMPELL: Yes, but these are not normal times, right? There`s the Trump
factor. Trump is different from every other president.

Trump has been surrounded by scandal after scandal after scandal, by crazy
tweets, by all sorts of other distractions that would maybe make the
economy not the most salient factor in how people judge how well the
country is doing and how well they assess the presidency.

CONFESSORE: And, Beth, something else I picked up on talking to
Republicans, we talk so much about motivation, who`s going to turn up and
vote. And as we see the Democratic base very motivated right now. I have
Republicans telling me, though, their folks are still motivated by Trump
himself and if you don`t have his name on the ballot, the party label`s not
doing it for them.

FOUHY: Yes, and you could make that argument given what we saw happen in
Alabama and Virginia and the sort of other races in 2017. His name was not
on the ballot, and they did poorly or less well than they could have. So,
that`s an argument that Trump supporters are going to make.

The other hand, though, as Catherine said, I mean, this really has all come
down to a referendum on Trump, whether he`s on the ballot or not.
Everybody is so transfixed with this presidency for good or for bad, and
frankly exhausted by it in a lot of ways. That even as you said with the
economy so strong, with unemployment looking fantastic, with just basically
all the facts on the ground, should be in support of this president, people
– they`re just not. Pollsters have never seen this before.

So, we`re getting to the point now where it is a referendum on Trump. Not
the way the Democrats ought to run, but because that`s where people`s minds
are and their voting hearts, that`s why Democrats are so motivated. And
those like hard core Trump voters might come out, but the people he needs
to pull those congressional Republicans over the transom may not be there.

KORNACKI: All right. Well, that`s where things look heading into 2018.

By the way, the last two presidents whose parties lost the House in their
first midterms, Clinton and Obama, went on to win re-election. Keep that
in mind if things go a certain next here.

The roundtable is staying with us.

Up next, three scoops you`ll be talking about tomorrow. You`re watching
HARDBALL.

(COMMERCIAL BREAK)

KORNACKI: And we are back with the HARDBALL roundtable.

Beth, tell me something I don`t know.

FOUHY: Did you know that Donald Trump made a very noteworthy cameo on “Sex
and the City” season 2. I have been rewatching the series to take my mind
off of politics and lo and behold, last night I stumble upon Donald Trump
in “Sex and the City” sitting at a bar with Samantha`s date, he says to the
guy: I`ll see you back at Trump Tower. He evidently threw that line in, he
wasn`t supposed to have a line at all, but he wanted to promote Trump Tower
and so he did. He was in “Sex and the City.”

(CROSSTALK)

KORNACKI: Kick it away.

Catherine?

RAMPELL: Along with other films.

So I think in the same YouGov poll that you cited earlier, it actually
found that less than half of Republicans expect Trump to win re-election in
2020. Also, less than half of Republicans think Trump is honest. So there
you go.

KORNACKI: Interesting findings.

Nick?

CONFESSORE: Only six people have served for multiple terms as House
speaker without going consecutively. If Dems can retake the House, Speaker
Pelosi could be the seventh one to do it.

KORNACKI: There you go. A little bit of history there potentially. Thank
you to Beth Fouhy, Catherine Rampell, Nick Confessore.

And before we go, I want to take a moment to say thanks to Anne Klink.
She`s the executive producer of HARDBALL and is retiring. This is going to
be her final show with us.

I know I speak for the entire HARDBALL staff when I say, I have seen
firsthand how much passion, how much insight, how much fun she brings to
this program. She is one of the very best people I have met in this
business.

Ann, thank you for everything. We wish you all the very best.

That is HARDBALL for now. Thank you for being with us.

“ALL IN WITH CHRIS HAYES” starts right now.


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