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Trump under the mistaken impression that the economy will save him

06/19/17 10:30AM

Donald Trump has taken a look at his presidency, and he's convinced he's doing a great job. Before his cabinet meeting last week, in which members of his team took turns offering gushing praise for their leader, the president declared, “Never has there been a president, with few exceptions ... who has passed more legislation and who has done more things than what we’ve done."

Trump tweeted a similar message yesterday, insisting that his "MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN agenda is doing very well." (Trump seems to have a special fondness for capitalized letters.) He specifically pointed to the number of bills he's signed and the "great" Supreme Court justice he named to the bench.

And while it's true Neil Gorsuch is now on the high court -- filling a vacancy of dubious legitimacy -- Trump's legislative accomplishments are hard to take seriously. An NBC News reported, "Three of those bills were appointing three members to the Smithsonian's board, another approved a war memorial, a fifth promoted women in entrepreneurship, and a sixth encouraged the display of the American flag on Vietnam War Veterans Day."

Hardly the stuff of presidential legend.

But at the core of Trump's defense of his presidency to date, over the weekend and in recent weeks, appears to be an unshakable belief that the economy can serve as a political life-preserver. Scandals and investigations may represent rising waters, but Trump seems to believe that the economy will keep him from drowning. The Washington Post reported:

President Trump is telling his supporters to concentrate on the economy — not an investigation into his campaign's relationships with Russian officials that has now expanded to include the president himself, as he acknowledged Friday morning. [...]

“Despite the phony Witch Hunt going on in America, the economic & jobs numbers are great,” Trump wrote on Twitter Friday morning. “Regulations way down, jobs and enthusiasm way up!”

On the surface, this isn't a bad strategy -- a president's political standing is often tied to the health of the economy, or lack thereof -- but in Trump's case, it's not quite as easy as he'd like to believe.

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Alaska Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Planned Parenthood funding creates key challenge for Senate GOP

06/19/17 10:00AM

About a week ago, the Wall Street Journal reported that Senate Republicans plan to "strip federal funding from Planned Parenthood ... and add several other abortion restrictions" to their still-secret health care bill. That may not sound especially surprising, given much of the GOP's fierce opposition to the group in recent years.

It does, however, create a challenge for Republican leaders, who have precious few votes to spare in this endeavor. Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine), for example, recently said, "It's not the only issue in this huge bill, but I certainly think it's not fair and it is a mistake to defund Planned Parenthood."

She's not the only one. Politico reported late Friday:

Sen. Lisa Murkowski has assured an Alaska constituent that she's committed to preserving Planned Parenthood funding as part of a health care bill -- the strongest line she's drawn yet over one of the most controversial elements of the Obamacare repeal effort.

"I am committed to ensuring that important provisions of the ACA, such as covering those with pre-existing conditions, continued support for Medicaid expansion, coverage for dependents and no lifetime limits, and funding for Planned Parenthood remain intact," Murkowski wrote in the constituent letter obtained by POLITICO.

Asked about the correspondence she signed, Murkowski reiterated to Politico that she still hasn't seen her party's secret bill, but added she's a "strong proponent [of Planned Parenthood] and I will fight to keep the funding in. I can't make promises or representations on bills that I don't know the contents of. I guess I'd have to see. But I have been solid on Planned Parenthood. It's all about access."

I wouldn't go so far as to call this language a threat to GOP leaders, but it certainly complicates the arithmetic for Senate Republicans.

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DREAMers (Development, Relief, and Education for Alien Minors) listen to speakers during a "United we Dream," rally on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednesday, July 10, 2013.  (Photo by Alex Brandon/AP)

Under latest Trump policy, 'Dreamers' remain in jeopardy

06/19/17 09:20AM

The fate of the Obama administration's Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) policy has been unclear for months. As a candidate, Donald Trump said the programs' beneficiaries -- children, known as "Dreamers," who entered the country illegally at a young age -- would be subject to deportations, but as president, Trump said the kids could "rest easy."

Soon after Attorney General Jeff Sessions, asked about these young immigrants' fate, said, "Well, we'll see. I believe that everyone who enters the country illegally is subject to being deported."

Friday brought some clarity to the issue: the White House announced that while President Obama's Deferred Action for Parents of Americans (DAPA) is no more, DACA would remain in place. In effect, young people who benefited from Obama's policies don't have to worry about deportation, and they can continue to receive work permits, but their parents may yet have a problem.

And at first, the continuation of the status quo -- DAPA was blocked in the courts -- seemed largely encouraging for Dreamers and their allies. But the details matter: these young immigrants aren't in the clear yet. The New York Times reported:

President Trump will not immediately eliminate protections for the so-called Dreamers, undocumented immigrants who came to the United States as small children, according to new memorandums issued by the administration on Thursday night.

But White House officials said on Friday morning that Mr. Trump had not made a decision about the long-term fate of the program and might yet follow through on a campaign pledge to take away work permits from the immigrants or deport them.

A Politico report added, "The future of an Obama-era deportation relief program remains undecided." Indeed, in a written statement, the Department of Homeland Security said, "The future of the DACA program continues to be under review with the administration."

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Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., speaks to media outside his office on Capitol Hill in Washington, June 22, 2016. (Photo by Carolyn Kaster/AP)

Secret health care bill roils Senate Republicans

06/19/17 08:40AM

When a reporter noted the other day that Senate Republicans are pushing a health care bill amid a level of secrecy "not seen since before World War I," Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn (R-Texas) dismissed the observation as "crazy talk." In this case, the GOP gambit may be "crazy," but the charge is true.

Don Ritchie, the official historian emeritus of the U.S. Senate, told the L.A. Times last week that during the Wilson administration, Senate Democrats crafted major tariff reforms in secret, but such an approach to federal legislating "hasn't happened since." The report on the GOP's health care scheme, citing Ritchie's analysis, added, "[N]ot since the years before World War I has the Senate taken such a partisan, closed-door approach to major legislation."

The truth may make Cornyn uncomfortable, but that doesn't make it wrong.

The same article had this striking quote from a key Republican senator:

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) said holding public hearings about the legislation would only give Democrats more opportunity to attack the bill.

"We have zero cooperation from the Democrats," he said. "So getting it in public gives them a chance to get up and scream."

It's a fascinating, albeit bizarre, perspective. To hear Orrin Hatch tell it, there's nothing especially problematic with Republicans tackling a health care overhaul -- life-or-death legislation, affecting one-sixth of the world's largest economy -- in total secrecy, because if there was transparency, some might criticize the legislation.

In fairness, several GOP senators have publicly criticized their own party's process. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), who appeared on multiple Sunday shows yesterday, conceded that the Republicans' approach isn't ideal. "The Senate is not a place where you can cook up something behind closed doors," he said on CBS.

There's a lot of this going around. Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), Bill Cassidy (R-La.), Rand Paul (R-Ky.), Jerry Moran (R-Kan.), Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), and others have publicly acknowledged that there are real problems with the way in which their party is trying to pass a secret health care bill.

But no one should be too impressed with their candor.

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Image: U.S. President Donald Trump walks along the Rose Garden as he returns from a day trip to Atlanta on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, U.S.

Team Trump looks for nuance in the words 'under investigation'

06/19/17 08:00AM

The news last week was stunning and historic: the special counsel's investigation into the Russia scandal now includes "an examination of whether President Trump attempted to obstruct justice." It makes Donald Trump only the third sitting American president ever to face a federal probe from the Justice Department.

Responding to the multiple news outlets that reported the developments, Trump complained on Twitter, "I am being investigated for firing the FBI Director by the man who told me to fire the FBI Director!" The statement seemed to represent a not-so-subtle shot at Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, but it also seemed to confirm the underlying story.

Or so we thought. As Rachel noted on Friday's show, the White House balked soon after, arguing that just because the president wrote, "I am being investigated," it doesn't mean he's being investigated.

If that wasn't confusing enough, things got worse yesterday. Jay Sekulow, best known for his role as the head of TV preacher Pat Robertson's legal group, appeared on several Sunday shows in his capacity as a leading member of Trump's defense team. He repeatedly insisted the president is not being investigated and Friday's tweet was intended to paraphrase media accounts. (This is not the first time Trump World said it's the media's fault the president used words the White House didn't want him to use.)

But Sekulow's case took a strange turn during an interview with Fox News' Chris Wallace: I bolded the phrase that stood out as especially problematic:

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Trump twitter rants worsen his situation

Trump twitter rants worsen his situation

06/16/17 09:35PM

Bob Bauer, former White House counsel, talks with Rachel Maddow about how Donald Trump hurts himself with rash tweets, and whether Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein needs to recuse himself from the obstruction part of the Trump Russia investigation. watch

Friday's Mini-Report, 6.16.17

06/16/17 05:30PM

Today's edition of quick hits:

* Minnesota: "A jury has acquitted a Minnesota police officer in the shooting death of a black man outside St. Paul last year, putting to end a tragic saga that began with a routine traffic stop."

* Another step backwards: "The United States will tighten travel restrictions and block business with the [Cuba's] military regime, President Donald Trump announced Friday."

* Immigration: "The Trump administration has announced it will allow eligible young undocumented immigrants to remain in the U.S. and work, but did away with a program that would have let undocumented parents of U.S. citizens and legal resident children stay."

* Afghanistan: "The Pentagon will send nearly 4,000 additional troops to Afghanistan in an effort to turn around a war that commanders have described as a stalemate, the Associated Press reported Thursday."

* Trump World: "Members of President Trump’s transition team were ordered on Thursday to preserve documents and other materials related to the investigation of Russian interference in the presidential election, according to a memo obtained by The New York Times."

* On a related note: "House Russia investigators are planning to call on Brad Parscale, the digital director of President Donald Trump's campaign, as the congressional and federal probes dig into any possible connections between the Trump digital operation and Russian operatives, congressional sources said this week."

* Trump assumed he could get China's Xi Jinping to do more on North Korea. Trump assumed wrong: "China has not significantly tightened the pressure on North Korea since Mr. Trump met with Mr. Xi in Palm Beach, Fla., in April. Its failure to do more has frustrated White House officials, who plan to raise the issue with their Chinese counterparts at a high-level meeting here on June 21."

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Image: Senate Minority Leader Democrat Chuck Schumer

Schumer calls Senate Republicans' bluff on health care gambit

06/16/17 05:12PM

At a Capitol Hill press conference this week, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) told reporters that "everybody" in the chamber who wants to work on health care policy "is participating," adding, "Unfortunately, it will have to be a Republicans-only exercise."

The Republican didn't say why, exactly, it has to be this way, but a day earlier, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) told the Washington Examiner, "We're trying to do it from a one-party perspective because no Democrat is willing to help us. No, this is not the best way to do health care. But it's the way we're having to do it."

It's a curious argument. In the House, GOP leaders refused to even consider bipartisan negotiations, rejecting such an approach on a conceptual level. In the Senate, Republicans created a "working group" in which 13 conservative men, almost exclusively from red states, decided they'd craft the Senate legislation. Democrats weren't invited to participate in any capacity.

I can appreciate why this is an awkward subject for Republicans -- they're brazenly rejecting the legislative process in ways without precedent in the American tradition -- but to argue that GOP lawmakers "have to" try to govern this way is plainly ridiculous. They've chosen this scandalous path, writing a secret bill without hearings, without testimony from subject-matter experts, and without so much as a hint of bipartisan negotiation.

The assertion that Democrats aren't "willing to help," however, is facing an interesting new test. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) sent a notable letter to McConnell yesterday, inviting him and his caucus to start a real dialog on health care:

"On behalf of my caucus, I write to invite you and the Republican Conference to an All-Senators meeting next week on the topic of health care. Now, more than ever, Republicans and Democrats need to come together to find solutions to America's challenges.

"Our health care system affects every single American and one-sixth of our economy. We believe we all owe it to our constituents to meet to discuss your potential legislation that would profoundly impact so many American lives.

"The U.S. Senate has long been considered the world's greatest deliberative body and, as members of that body, we should each support open and robust debate. That is why we are dismayed at the reports that there will be no public hearings on your proposed changes to the American health care system.

"Please accept our invitation to sit down together in the old Senate Chamber so we can hear your plans and discuss how to make health care more affordable and accessible in the United States."

Does Schumer seriously expect McConnell to accept such an invitation? I rather doubt it, but as public-relations moves go, the Democratic leader's letter is a good one. In fact, if Republicans accepted, I don't doubt for a moment that Schumer and his members would be ready to engage in a bipartisan conversation.

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Image: Senate Republicans Address The Press After Their Weekly Policy Luncheon

Senate Republicans intend to ram through secret health care bill

06/16/17 12:55PM

Senate Republican leaders established a timeline of sorts for their health care overhaul, complete with a self-imposed deadline: a GOP bill is supposed to pass the upper chamber before Congress breaks for the 4th of July.

In practical terms, that means a Senate vote on a health care vote by Friday, June 30 -- the last day before the holiday recess -- which is two weeks from today. The Washington Post reports that Republicans continue to believe this schedule is realistic.

Senate Republican leaders are aiming to bring a major revision to the nation's health-care laws to the Senate floor by the end of June even as lingering disagreements, particularly over Medicaid, threaten to derail their efforts, several Republicans familiar with the effort said Thursday.

President Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) are pressing for an ambitious timeline to complete the bill, although it is being drafted in the Senate with little assistance from the White House.

Just so we're clear about the calendar, Senate Republican leaders intend to finish a secret overhaul of the American health care system, share it with at least some of their colleagues, send it to the Congressional Budget Office, receive a score from the CBO, bring it to the floor for some perfunctory debate, and pass the bill -- all over the next 14 days.

That's a tall order, to be sure, but I'm not convinced they'll fail.

The House passed their far-right legislation last month without a CBO score, but in the Senate, that's not an option: under the budget reconciliation process, which Republicans are using to prevent a filibuster, senators will need to ensure that their version doesn't affect the deficit more than the House version.

Ordinarily, on a bill of this importance, it takes the Budget Office between 10 and 14 days to produce a score -- which in this case, would necessarily mean that GOP lawmakers miss their deadline -- but TPM reports that many Republican senators "hope" it will take less time "because they've had the CBO provide feedback on the various individual proposals under consideration."

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About The Rachel Maddow Show

Launched in 2008, “The Rachel Maddow Show” follows the machinations of policy making in America, from local political activism to international diplomacy. Rachel Maddow looks past the distractions of political theater and stunts and focuses on the legislative proposals and policies that shape American life - as well as the people making and influencing those policies and their ultimate outcome, intended or otherwise.

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