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Friday's Campaign Round-Up, 4.17.15

04/17/15 12:00PM

Today's installment of campaign-related news items that won't necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
 
* Fresh proof that the left may have reason to like the Democratic frontrunner after all: "Hillary Clinton is planning to name Gary Gensler, a former top federal financial regulator and strong advocate for strict Wall Street rules, as the chief financial officer of her campaign."
 
* Gov. Scott Walker (R) often touts an electability message when promoting his presidential campaign, but the latest Marquette University Law School poll shows the governor's in-state approval rating dropping to 41%. In a hypothetical match-up against Clinton, the Democrat has a 12-point advantage in Wisconsin over the governor, 52% to 40%.
 
* On a related note, the same poll shows Sen. Ron Johnson (R) trailing former Sen. Russ Feingold (D) by a wide margin, 54% to 38%.
 
* Sen. Marco Rubio (R) appears to have gotten a bump in his home state of Florida this week, with a new Mason-Dixon poll showing him with a narrow lead in the state's 2016 Republican primary. The survey showed him with a one-point advantage over former Gov. Jeb Bush, 31% to 30%.
 
* Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) appears to be inching closer to a presidential campaign, launching a national political action committee.
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush speaks to a group at a Politics and Pie at the Snow Shoe Club, April 16, 2015, in Concord, N.H. (Photo by Jim Cole/AP)

Jeb Bush: raise the retirement age

04/17/15 11:27AM

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R), looking for a way to break through in the Republican presidential race, announced his support for major "reforms" to social-insurance programs this week, including a call to raise the retirement age to 69.
 
In the larger political context, the question was whether -- and when -- the more competitive GOP candidates would follow suit. Now we know.
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) said Friday that the national retirement age needs to be raised "in relatively short order."
 
"I think we need to raise the retirement age, not for the people that already nearing -- receiving Social Security that are already on it [sic], but raise it gradually over a long period of time for people that are just entering the system," Bush said Friday during a speech in New Hampshire.
The Florida Republican didn't say, exactly, what the new retirement age would be under this vision, only that he'd like to see it happen soon.
 
All of this unfolded on video, which means that voters are likely to be reminded of this quote many times in the coming months, especially if Jeb Bush wins his party's nomination.
Sen. Marco Rubio

Rubio's 'Health Choices' policy comes up far short

04/17/15 10:59AM

As Sen. Marco Rubio's (R-Fla.) presidential campaign gets underway in earnest, there's been a fair amount of attention this week focused on his background in government. The far-right lawmaker rejects the "inexperienced" label, and he has a point.
 
Before joining the U.S. Senate four years ago, the Florida Republican served nearly a decade in the state legislature, including two years as Florida's state House Speaker. Combined, that gives Rubio roughly 13 years in elected office -- more than recent Republican presidential nominees like Mitt Romney and George W. Bush combined.
 
The better question is what Rubio did while in office. At the federal level, the Florida Republican has no real legislative accomplishments to his name, but Politico reported this morning highlighted one of Rubio's most notable legislative feats during his tenure in Tallahassee.
In 2008, while Democrats were declaring that the time was right for national health care reform, Marco Rubio, the speaker of the Florida House, had a ready response: Florida should build a market-based system that would help contain the cost of insurance and make it more available.
 
Rubio pushed his no-mandate health insurance exchange, dubbed Florida Health Choices, through the state Legislature that year. "It's about competition, it's about choice, and it's about the marketplace," he told The Palm Beach Post at the time.
 
Florida Health Choices, which finally opened last year, now covers 80 people.
In case this isn't clear, "80 people" is literal. The figure doesn't represent some percentage of the state population; we're talking about 80 individual Floridians in a state with a population of nearly 20 million.
 
It's worth appreciating why the policy Rubio championed is such a dud.
Citizens tour the Arizona Capitol grounds in Phoenix in this Dec. 14, 2004 file photo.

Arizona GOP gets creative in blocking healthcare

04/17/15 10:11AM

A couple of weeks ago, state lawmakers in Arizona moved closer to blocking funding for implementing the Affordable Care Act. The whole idea seemed too bizarre to be taken seriously, and the effort barely caused a ripple in national coverage on health care policy.
 
That's a shame, because as Sarah Kliff noted yesterday, the ridiculous proposal actually passed this week.
Arizona has passed a bizarre new law in which the state effectively promises that if the Supreme Court destroys its health exchange, it won't build a new one, no matter how badly Arizonans are hurting.
Even for Republicans, this is an odd one. I've heard plenty about states claiming to hate "Obamacare," but it's unusual to see a state declare its intention to punish itself, on purpose, for no reason.
A rainbow forms over a neighbourhood following a massive snow storm in West Seneca

Americans' economic confidence on the rise

04/17/15 09:37AM

The latest Bloomberg Politics poll shows President Obama with an overall approval rating of 47%, which is roughly in line with other national polling, but it wasn't the result that stood out most.
Americans are becoming more optimistic about the country's economic prospects by several different measures. President Barack Obama's handling of the economy is being seen more positively than negatively for the first time in more than five years, 49 percent to 46 percent -- his best number in this poll since September 2009. [...]
 
"The uptick extends not just to Obama but to the mood of the country and to things getting better," says J. Ann Selzer, president of West Des Moines, Iowa-based Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll. "This will be an interesting potential transition, if it's a movement that signals the country is more cognizant about things turning better and that, in an indirect way, they're feeling better about Obama."
As Aaron Blake noted this morning, it's not the only poll showing Americans feeling better about economic conditions.
For more than six years now, President Obama's record has been bogged down, to varying degrees, by the economy.... But things have taken a turn. New Gallup polling shows, for the first time during the Obama presidency and since the recession in which it began, a majority of Americans -- 52 percent -- say their personal financial situation is getting better.
The economic results themselves aren't new -- the unemployment rate, for example, has been dropping quickly for years -- but the public's beliefs are starting to come into line with the data. In other words, the economy has improved considerably since President Obama helped end the Great Recession, but we're now reaching the point at which most Americans feel that improvement and experience it in their own lives.
 
The political implications are likely to be dramatic.
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, speaks at Liberty University's Vines Center in Lynchburg, Va., where he announced his candidacy for President of the United States, March 23, 2015. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call/AP)

Leading Republicans differ over armed 'insurrection'

04/17/15 08:40AM

Nearly five years ago, a Republican U.S. Senate candidate named Sharron Angle used a phrase that was as memorable as it was alarming: her political vision included "Second Amendment remedies." At the time, Angle's point was that if conservatives disapproved of policies adopted by elected officials, Americans might want to consider armed violence against their own country.
 
We learned last year that Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa), before her election, endorsed a similar perspective. The right-wing Iowan said at an NRA event that she carries a firearm "virtually everywhere," in case she needs to defend herself "from the government, should they decide that my rights are no longer important."
 
This year, it's Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) who's dipping his toes in the same waters. Sahil Kapur reported yesterday that the far-right presidential candidate is taking the "uncommon" view that the Second Amendment "includes a right to revolt against government tyranny."
"The 2nd Amendment to the Constitution isn't for just protecting hunting rights, and it's not only to safeguard your right to target practice. It is a Constitutional right to protect your children, your family, your home, our lives, and to serve as the ultimate check against governmental tyranny -- for the protection of liberty," Cruz wrote to supporters in a fundraising email on Thursday, under the subject line "2nd Amendment against tyranny."
 
This "insurrectionist" argument, as Second Amendment expert and UCLA law professor Adam Winkler calls it, is popular among passionate gun owners and members of the National Rifle Association. But major party candidates for president don't often venture there.
Winkler told TPM, "It's pretty rare for a presidential candidate to support the right of the people to revolt against the government."
 
At least it used to be. In the American mainstream, when the people are dissatisfied with the government's direction, we don't need to take up arms or threaten violence -- we have elections. Your right to vote exists; your right to armed conflict against Americans does not.
 
Cruz's radicalism was enough to draw a rebuke from a fellow Republican and likely White House rival.
Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) delivers a speech at an event on October 6, 2014. (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call/AP)

Louisiana goes for broke with discrimination bill

04/17/15 08:00AM

As marriage equality takes root as the legal norm in much of the country, opponents of equal-marriage rights have adopted a new set of tactics. Whereas it was common a decade ago to see Republicans pushing anti-gay constitutional amendments -- at the state and federal level -- right-to-discriminate measures have clearly become the new weapon of choice.
 
Arizona generated national attention last year with its foray into this area, but a gubernatorial veto quickly ended the fight. This year, Indiana created a firestorm with its discrimination statute, which policymakers were soon after willing to "fix." Arkansas scaled back its far-right drive in this area soon after.
 
But msnbc's Jane C. Timm reported yesterday that Louisiana Republicans are plowing ahead with a related bill of their own.
HB 707 -- the "Marriage and Conscience Act" -- says the state can't take "adverse action" against someone for opposing same-sex marriage for religious reasons; sponsor Rep. Mike Johnson told msnbc he's hoping the bill will come up for a vote in the next few weeks. If passed, this law would likely ensure, for example, that the state couldn't punish a state worker who refuses to process paperwork on a name change following a gay marriage in another state, or a police officer who didn't want to police a same-sex wedding ceremony.
 
"This Louisiana bill really does what people accused the Indiana law of doing," leading religious freedom expert and University of Virginia law professor Doug Laycock told msnbc. While Indiana's law offered up individuals accused of discrimination a legal defense that a judge could then weigh, Laycock explained, this law gives religious individuals absolute protection from state action, without balancing interests of – for instance – whether a gay individual's right to services outweighs the religious individual's freedoms.
Gov. Bobby Jindal (R), not surprisingly, told msnbc the proposal is "not about discriminating against anyone," so much as it's about "religious freedom."
 
There's ample evidence to the contrary.
Reid rattles GOP with Lynch vote threat

Reid rattles GOP with Lynch vote threat

04/16/15 09:00PM

Frank Thorp, NBC News Capitol Hill producer, talks with Rachel Maddow about Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid's threat to force a confirmation vote on Loretta Lynch if Mitch McConnell doesn't act soon, and how the Senate calendar is likely to play out. watch

Decryptomaddowlogical #126

04/16/15 07:20PM

Rachel pointed out on Wednesday that liberals were pleasantly surprised to hear among the planks of Hillary Clinton's campaign an emphasis on getting unaccountable money out of the American political system. But with literally billions of dollars expected to be spent by 2016 candidates, many wonder if it's even possible that...

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Launched in 2008, “The Rachel Maddow Show” follows the machinations of policy making in America, from local political activism to international diplomacy. Rachel Maddow looks past the distractions of political theater and stunts and focuses on the legislative proposals and policies that shape American life - as well as the people making and influencing those policies and their ultimate outcome, intended or otherwise.

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