Thursday’s Campaign Round-Up, 8.28.14

Today’s installment of campaign-related news items that won’t necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
 
* The latest New York Times analysis gives Republicans a 65% chance of winning the Senate majority. The latest Sam Wang analysis out of Princeton gives Democrats a 70% chance of keeping their Senate majority. Both are credible reports based on reliable data. Stay tuned.
 
* In Wisconsin’s very competitive gubernatorial race, the latest Marquette Law School poll shows Mary Burke (D) edging past incumbent Gov. Scott Walker (R) among likely voters, 48.6% to 46.5%.
 
* Speaking of close Midwestern gubernatorial contests, the new EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan has Mark Schauer (D) also taking a narrow lead against incumbent Gov. Rick Snyder (R), 45% to 43% (thanks to my colleague Will Femia for the heads-up).
 
* In Iowa’s U.S. Senate race, the new USA Today/Suffolk poll shows Bruce Braley (D) and Joni Ernst (R) tied at 40% each. It’s the second poll this week to show these results.
 
* Speaking of Iowa, in 2016 polling, Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s (R) support among Hawkeye State Republicans went up seven points after he was indicted on two felony counts.
 
* In Pennsylvania, Gov. Tom Corbett (R) isn’t just on track to lose his re-election bid, the latest Franklin & Marshall College poll suggests he’s poised to suffer a landslide defeat. The poll shows Tom Wolf (D) with a surprising 25-point advantage over the incumbent.
 
* In New Hampshire, incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) launched her first negative ad of the cycle this week, characterizing former Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) as a pawn of “big oil.”
 
* And Maine Gov. Paul LePage (R), in the midst of a tough re-election fight in a three-way race, told voters yesterday that “the worst part” of his life is the fact that “newspapers are still alive.” I don’t think he was kidding. In fact, he quickly added, “Sorry, I had to say it.”
 

Thursday's Campaign Round-Up, 8.28.14