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Wednesday's Campaign Round-Up, 7.23.14
Today's installment of campaign-related news items that won't necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
* In North Carolina's closely watched U.S. Senate race, incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan (D) continues to hold on against state House Speaker Thom Tillis (R), with PPP showing her up by seven points, 41% to 34%. In May, PPP shows Hagan up by five.
* In related news, the Koch-affiliated Freedom Partners has reportedly made a $2.8 million ad buy in North Carolina in order to try to bring Hagan down.
* In Florida, a new Quinnipiac poll shows former Gov. Charlie Crist (D) leading incumbent Gov. Rick Scott (R) by five, 45% to 40% in a head-to-head match-up. When Libertarian candidate Adrian Wyllie is added to the mix, Crist still leads, but his advantage slips to just two points.
* In Colorado, PPP now shows Sen. Mark Udall (D) with a narrow, one-point lead over Rep. Cory Gardner (R), 44% to 43%.
* The same PPP poll out of Colorado shows an equally close gubernatorial race, with incumbent Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) also leading former Rep. Bob Beauprez (R), 44% to 43%.
* In Iowa, Republicans are going after Rep. Bruce Braley's (D) Senate campaign, attacking him for having missed a VA hearing in 2012. In an amusing twist, it turns out that Braley was in "Fast & Furious" hearing at the time, making this an odd thing for the GOP to complain about.
Obama, Rand Paul on 'opposite' sides of minimum wage
The Associated Press this week dove into Labor Department data and found something interesting: states that raised their minimum wage are creating more jobs than states that didn't. It's the kind of development that does no favors for Republican Party orthodoxy.
In light of the data, I thought prominent GOP figures might avoid the subject for a while, though Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) may have missed the memo.
President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama gave a joint interview last month in which they said they hope their daughters work minimum-wage jobs -- just as the First Couple once did. "I think every kid needs to get a taste of what it's like to do that real hard work," Michelle Obama said.
The president added, "We are looking for opportunities for them to feel as if going to work and getting a paycheck is not always fun, not always stimulating, not always fair. But that's what most folks go through every single day."
It seemed pretty innocuous, though the Obamas' comments apparently bothered Rand Paul.
Speaking at a downtown conference for libertarian and conservative technology types [in San Francisco], the Kentucky Republican and prospective 2016 White House contender said he had an "opposite" view from the Obamas when it comes to seeing his own sons work delivering pizzas and at call centers."The minimum wage is a temporary" thing, Paul said. "It's a chance to get started. I see my son come home with his tips. And he's got cash in his hand and he's proud of himself. I don't want him to stop there. But he's working and he's understanding the value of work. We shouldn't disparage that."
I didn't hear a recording of Paul's comments, but I've read the Politico report a few times trying to make sense of the senator's argument. I'm just not sure what he was trying to say.
Disabilities treaty gets a second chance
It's always a shame when good legislation dies for no reason, but some setbacks are more disappointing than others. In late 2012, for example, proponents of the U.N. Convention on the Rights of People with Disabilities thought they had enough votes for ratification. They were wrong.
Former Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole (R-Kan.), a champion of the measure, made a rare appearance in the chamber just before the vote, sitting in a wheelchair just off the floor so that members would have to see him as they entered. Dole hoped to send a message to senators: do the right thing.
It didn't work. Some Senate Republicans who knew right-wing conspiracy theories about the treaty were wrong nevertheless voted to kill it, betraying Dole because they feared the GOP's far-right base. John Kerry, before his departure from the Senate, said at the time it was one of the saddest days of his career.
Members will, however, get a second chance to do the right thing.
The Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Tuesday approved a United Nations treaty to protect people with disabilities from discrimination.The committee approved the treaty on a 12-6 vote. All Democrats approved along with Republican Sens. John McCain (Ariz.) and John Barrasso (Wyo.). [...]"When we lead, the world follows, and only the United States can show the way in raising worldwide accessibility to the American standard," committee Chairman Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) said in a statement after the vote.
Part of the frustration with this debate is that opponents are playing such a weak hand -- but may win anyway.
Marco Rubio's unique take on history
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) generated quite a few headlines in his interview with NPR's Steve Inskeep this week, but not necessarily for the right reasons.
The story that got tongues wagging inside the Beltway was hard to miss: the conservative senator dismissed former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's presidential future, arguing the nation is at a "generational, transformational crossroads," and Clinton is "a 20th century candidate."
Maybe it's just me, but hearing a far-right lawmaker who opposes marriage equality, supports limits on contraception access, opposes reproductive rights, balks at ENDA, and fails to believe in climate science turn around and present himself as a forward-thinking leader for the future is a bit much. As Barbara Morrill joked, Rubio's "the guy for a generational, transformational change. Assuming you're talking about a transformation back to the 19th century."
But just as interesting were the senator's comments about comprehensive immigration reform, which Rubio co-sponsored in the Senate, which passed a bill fairly easily last year.
"I've been through this now, I was involved in the effort. I warned during that effort that I didn't think it did enough on this first element, the [border] security front. I was proven, unfortunately, right by the fact that it didn't move in the House."
As the senator probably knows, this assessment doesn't line up especially well with what's actually transpired.
Perry fails to impress Texas border sheriffs
Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) caused a bit of a stir this week, announcing plans to dispatch as many as 1,000 National Guard troops to the U.S./Mexico border, apparently to address the recent humanitarian crisis. The Republican governor (and likely presidential candidate) has struggled to explain exactly what these troops would do, but Perry seems quite excited about "Operation Strong Safety."
The governor, however, has not necessarily impressed those whom Perry assumed would be allies.
Leaders along the Texas border with Mexico slammed Gov. Rick Perry's move Monday to send 1,000 National Guard troops to South Texas, saying overwhelmed counties need law enforcement and charitable aid, not militarization. [...]Sheriffs and others along the border said they had not been consulted. They questioned the wisdom of sending military personnel who are not authorized to stop anyone.
The quotes from local law enforcement to the Dallas Morning News were quite striking. Cameron County Sheriff Omar Lucio said, "At this time, a lot of people do things for political reasons. I don't know that it helps." Specifically in reference to National Guard troops, Lucio added, "I don't know what good they can do."
Ouch.
The Speaker, the ACA, and the 'Be Careful What You Wish For' Adage
The closer one looks at the D.C. Circuit's ruling yesterday on ACA subsidies, the harder it is to defend. Two conservative jurists not only want to destroy the health care system over an out-of-context drafting error, they also based their reasoning on a farcical foundation. Scott Lemieux explained that the far-right judges effectively said Congress consciously decided to give states veto power over the law's implementation.
Why would the ACA's architects do that? They wouldn't -- and they didn't. The argument is a sham, which is why so many are so confident that yesterday's truly absurd decision simply cannot stand. Ezra Klein called the argument "plainly ridiculous."
But while the legal process plays out, there's a political angle worth watching. After the Halbig v. Burwell decision came down, House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) said in a statement that the ruling proves that the Affordable Care Act is "completely unworkable" and "cannot be fixed."
As it happens, it's funny that Boehner would use those particular words.
I rather doubt that Boehner actually believes his own rhetoric on this. Indeed, the talking points are pretty silly -- a system that was working well is "unworkable" because of a lawsuit intended to sabotage the American health care system? Please.
But it's the notion that the ACA "cannot be fixed" that's especially important. The Republican Speaker may have been thrilled by yesterday's news that millions may lose access to medical care, but whether he realizes it or not, if Halbig continues to go his way, this mess may very well land with a thud on Boehner's desk -- and the Speaker will be ill-equipped to respond.
The stage is set in Georgia
Going into yesterday's Senate primary runoff in Georgia, polls suggested Rep. Jack Kingston (R) was fairly well positioned to win his party's nomination. As Benjy Sarlin reports, that's not quite how the race turned out.
Businessman David Perdue will be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia after narrowly defeating Congressman Jack Kingston in a runoff on Tuesday.With 100% of precincts reporting, Perdue held a lead of less than 2% of the vote.
Perdue, already labeled "Mitt Romney Lite," will face Michelle Nunn in the fall in the race to replace retiring Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R). And though Georgia may be a "red" state, and 2014 is supposed to be a great year for Republicans, Democrats believe they have a realistic shot at picking up this Senate seat -- optimism bolstered by polls showing a very competitive race.
The basic contours of the general election have already taken shape: Perdue will present himself as a political outsider with a fresh perspective; Democrats will point to Perdue as a gaffe-prone Romney clone with a history of laying off American workers through outsourcing.
Just as important, though, were the congressional primary runoffs. With U.S. Reps. Paul Broun (R-Ga.), Phil Gingrey (R-Ga.), and Kingston leaving Capitol Hill after failed Senate bids, Georgia's delegation is due for an upgrade, right?
Well, that's a matter of perspective.
NJ Anaconda? and other headlines
First MH17 victims flown out of Ukraine. (NBC News)
Sec. of State Kerry flies to Tel Aviv despite FAA ban. (LA Times)
U.S. pushes for truce as Gaza battle rages. (AP)
Georgians pick their Republican Senate nominee, and Bob Barr will not be returning to Congress. (Atlanta Journal Constitution)
Obama administration to revise part of contraception rule. (Wall Street Journal)
Michele Bachmann wonders why no one wonders if she will run for President again. (Washington Post)
The (possible) anaconda of Lake Hopatcong. (AP)
