Show StoriesRSS
The right's other demographic challenge
Republican Party leaders seem well aware of the demographic challenges they'll face in the not-too-distant future. The party has generally relied on a more homogenous base made up of older, white, religious voters, which Republican leaders have recognized as a problem in an increasingly diverse nation.
But it's important to realize that the scope of the demographic difficulties facing the GOP, because it's not just the result of changes to the electorate's racial and ethnic makeup. The generational challenges should probably be just as alarming to Republican strategists. Consider, for example, the latest Pew Research Center report, released late last week.
Kevin Drum's take rings true:
Pew has released a new survey about the social and political attitudes of various generations, and it makes for interesting reading. The thing that strikes me the most is just how clear the trends are. Each successive generation is more politically independent; more religiously independent; less likely to be married in their 20s; less trusting of others; less likely to self-ID as patriotic; and less opposed to gay rights. There's virtually no overlap at all. It's just a smooth, straight progression.But the single most interesting chart in the report is one that doesn't show this smooth progression.
Right. The Pew data shows voters under 30 moving sharply to the left in recent years. This isn't necessarily reflected in partisanship, but it is captured by ideology -- the "millennial" generation is the only generation in which self-described liberals outnumber self-described conservatives.
GOP strategist: 'No stupid comments' on women
Republican strategist Kate Obenshain was recently on Fox News when Bill O'Reilly posited that there must be "some downside to having a woman president." He added, "There haven't been that many strong women leaders throughout history."
A week later, Obenshain was at CPAC reflecting on the right and the gender gap (thanks to reader J.B. for the tip).
One of the panelists on a discussion conservative women in politics had a message for men within the party: no dumb comments this cycle and let women talk about contraception."We cannot have any stupid comments this year. No stupid comments," conservative author Kate Obenshain said Saturday at the Conservative Political Action Conference. "Please think before you make pithy, obnoxious comments." Obenshain added that it's important to avoid comments that play into the "War On Women" attack against Republicans.
She went on to say that when it comes to contraception, "White men stay behind, let the women talk about this issue."
At the surface, all of this seems quite sensible. There's ample evidence that Republicans have struggled of late with women voters at the national level, at least in part due to "stupid comments," so Obenshain's advice has a sensible ring to it.
But the underlying problem persists: many Republicans still believe their difficulties have more to do with rhetoric than policy, as if substance just isn't that important.
Presidential breaks aren't 'startling'
President Obama occasionally takes a breather because, well, humans in stressful jobs sometimes need a break. For some reason, Republicans seem to find this fascinating.
While Russia beefed up its forces in Ukraine and the U.S. unemployment rate ticked up slightly, President Obama was criticized for spending the weekend on vacation with his family at an ultra-exclusive private community in the Florida Keys.... The Obamas combined their excursion with a stop at a high school in Miami to promote the president's education agenda."Only President Obama would deliver a brief speech about education and then have the nerve to jet over to the posh Ocean Reef Clubs -- an exclusive members-only resort for the wealthy -- for a quick vacation," said RNC spokesman Jahan Wilcox. "As President Obama enjoys the Florida Keys and Vice President Biden vacations in the Virgin Islands for the weekend, their economic policies are still leaving millions of middle-class Americans and young adults struggling to get by in the Obama economy."
To be sure, the Republican National Committee is supposed to launch silly lobs at Democratic administrations, but the RNC's talking points appear to have been embraced by some media conservatives. Fox News' Chris Wallace, for example, asked former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates yesterday if "it's helpful for President Obama to take the weekend off in the middle of what you call a crisis to be playing golf in Florida."
Peggy Noonan added, "He's sort of off for the weekend in a way that startles me in the middle of a crisis."
First, Friday's jobs report was actually pretty good, and even if it had been a disaster, there's nothing the president could have done about it over the weekend anyway. Second, Obama taking a short break in Florida didn't stop him from working the phones on the crisis in Ukraine, and if the circumstances warranted it, the president could have left anytime.
But even putting this aside, all of this handwringing wouldn't be quite so annoying if Republicans weren't conveniently ignoring the president's immediate predecessor.
Cheney talks up 'military options'
Former Vice President Dick Cheney made his latest Sunday-show appearance yesterday, using the word "weak" quite a bit to condemn President Obama on "Face the Nation." But what struck me as especially interesting was the former VP, true to form, complaining that U.S. military options aren't being considered in response to the crisis in Ukraine.
DICK CHENEY: Well, I think -- I worry one would begin to address a crisis by the first thing we do is take options off the table. I don't think the administration should do that. And this--CHARLIE ROSE: Have they done that?DICK CHENEY: In a sense saying no military. He seems to operate that way most of the time. There are military options that don't involve putting troops on the ground in Crimea. We could go back and reinstate the ballistic missile defense program that was taken out. It was originally going to go in Poland, Czech Republic, Obama took it out to appease Putin. We could do training exercises in Poland, joint exercises. We can offer military assistance in terms of equipment, training, and so forth to the Ukrainians themselves.
Now, we could talk about how dubious Cheney's argument about missile defense is. Or we could note how amusing it is for the former VP to embrace his own caricature and talk up military solutions. Or we could even highlight the oddity of Cheney whining incessantly about Obama being responsible for the Ukrainian crisis, nearly six years after Putin went to war with Georgia, wholly unconcerned with what Bush/Cheney had to say about it.
But that's not what came to mind watching Cheney's latest condemnation of his successors.
A 'civil war' or a 'free-for-all'?
In his speech last week at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) rejected the idea that his party was in the midst of a "civil war." He told the far-right activists, "I don't see this great divide in our party."
Ryan stressed the same point on "Face the Nation" yesterday. "I don't think there's really this vast civil war in the Republican Party like many in the left like to suggest there is," the congressman said. "I think we're a party with a vibrant debate, adding ideas, solving problems, and I think we're going to be okay."
Metaphors can be tricky and if Ryan is uncomfortable with "civil war" references, his concerns are not without merit. In a civil war, there are generally two well-defined contingents struggling for control, but what Republicans have are multiple factions looking for power, but lacking in leadership and direction.
Robert Costa's post-CPAC report framed the landscape well.
The annual Conservative Political Action Conference came to a raucous and buoyant end Saturday as thousands of tea party activists cheered on former Republican vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin, who closed the gathering with a full-throated denunciation of President Obama and urged conservatives to embrace their views more fiercely than ever.But over the course of its three days, the event put on display how factions within the Republican Party are still struggling to find a path out of the wilderness, illuminating the gap between the GOP's resolutely conservative grass-roots and a party leadership eager for a more moderate approach.
It became clear at CPAC that Republicans are united in their contempt for President Obama ... but that's about it. What's the Republican line on foreign policy? Ask different figures in the party and you'll get very different answers. What should Republicans do about immigration? There's no shortage of opinions, many of which contradict each other.
What role should social issues play in the GOP's agenda? Should the party try to be more inclusive? Should the focus remain on repealing the entirety of the Affordable Care Act? Who's leading the party and in what direction? No one, inside CPAC or out, seems to have the foggiest idea.
Week in Geek: 100,000 beautiful asteroids
Asteroids are all over the news this week. Not one, not two, but three of them whizzed by Earth within 48 hours of each other. And if that wasn't enough, the Hubble Space Telescope had a front-row seat for the break-up of a 240,000 ton asteroid. This edition of your Week in Geek is dedicated to these small, rocky bodies that we rarely see, but that still tell us a lot about the history of our Solar System.
At first, glance the video above might look like abstract art, but it is actually a visualization by astronomer Alex Parker of more than 100,000 asteroids known to be orbiting the Sun. The data comes from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, a workhorse telescope located on a plateau in New Mexico that has observed more than a quarter of the entire sky.
The video shows the main asteroid belt, located between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter, as well as the Trojan class of asteroids known as Trojans that lead and follow Jupiter in its course around the Sun. The colors you see are artificial, but representative of the properties of different classes of asteroids: C-type (blue), S-type (purple/red/orange/yellow), and V-type (green). These classes are defined by chemical composition. C-type asteroids are composed of a lot of carbon and are characteristically dark and hard to see (as they don't reflect much sunlight). S-type asteroids are a little brighter and are composed of iron and magnesium silicates. V-type asteroids are one of the rarest types; they are basaltic and thought to be fragments of crust broken off from other larger asteroids, primarily Vesta itself.
The great thing about this video is it lets you see how the composition of the asteroid belt varies: the inner most region is green and therefore dominated by V-types, and the outermost region is much bluer, indicating more C-types. Astronomers knew most of this before, but in a numbers-on-a-page kind of way. Putting data like this into visual form reveals subtleties that might otherwise go unnoticed and allows astronomers both to reduce misclassifications and better identify outliers that could lead us in exiting new directions. Also, it's gorgeous.
Further geek from the week:
This Week in God
First up from the God Machine this week is an unexpected approach to evangelism: Baptist leaders who believe giving away guns will help fill the pews.
The Kentucky Baptist Convention wants to "point people to Christ" by giving away guns at Second Amendment Celebrations hosted across the state.In the words of spokesman Chuck McAlister the strategy is "outreach to rednecks," and 1,000 people are expected to attend the next event. To lure the nonreligious into the fold, the churches are offering a handgun, shotgun, or long gun as door prizes. Winners attend church for a photo-op with their new gun, but they must pass a background check before collecting their prize.
McAlister boasted that "unchurched men" in particular will show up because of the gun giveaways, which will in turn offer evangelism opportunities.
And it's not just in Kentucky. The Rev. John Koletas, pastor of Grace Baptist Church in upstate New York, is raffling off an AR-15 assault rifle at an upcoming service.
"We're honoring gun owners and hunters," Koletas told the New York Daily News. "And we're being a blessing and a help to people who have been attacked, viciously attacked, by socialists and anti-Christian people -- the politicians and the media."
Koletas is perhaps best known to locals as the pastor who's been arrested seven times "on disorderly conduct charges for loud and incessant street-corner preaching." In each instance, the charges were either dropped or dismissed.
Also from the God Machine this week:
Ahead on the 3/7 Maddow show
Tonight's guests include:
Perry Bacon, political editor for the Grio
Jonathan Alter, author of “The Center Holds” and MSNBC political analyst
Julia Ioffe, senior editor for the New Republic
Here's a tune - and here is executive producer Bill Wolff with a preview of tonight's show, after the jump: read more
Corker's creative defense In VW case
During last month's unionization vote at a Volkswagen plant in Chattanooga, Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) intervened to a surprising degree. The senator's strong opposition to unions was hardly a secret, but Corker went further -- during the three-day voting process, the Republican lawmaker said he had secret knowledge that the VW plant would manufacture a new product line, but only if employees rejected a union.
Though it's difficult to know how much of an effect, if any, Corker's comments made on the outcome, the unionization vote was defeated two days later. Last week, the United Auto Workers cried foul, asking the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) to order a new election because of the interference from Corker and other GOP officials (some Republicans in the state legislature warned they would oppose future incentives for the plant if workers unionized).
Corker turned to the Wall Street Journal this week to characterize himself as the target of intimidation -- the United Auto Workers union, the senator argued, is trying to stifle his free speech.
Unfortunately, the UAW has chosen to ignore the employees' decision and has filed objections with the National Labor Relations Board, charging that elected officials like me should not be allowed to make public comments expressing our opinion and sharing information with our constituents. It is telling that the UAW complaint does not mention President Obama's public statement urging the employees to vote for the union.If the National Labor Relations Board upholds these objections, it would be an unprecedented assault on free speech. In every similar case where a company has remained neutral in a union-election drive, members of Congress on both sides of the aisle have voiced their opinions. The NLRB has ruled repeatedly that public officials have the right to make statements taking sides in a union election, and that those statements do not justify overturning the outcome of that election.
The point Corker seems reluctant to acknowledge is that he did more than just voice his opinion. If the senator and other Republican officials had said, loudly and firmly, that they hoped unionization would lose, the UAW would likely have a much weaker case.
But that's not what happened. Corker waited until voting was underway when he made a specific claim -- which flatly contradicted VW's stated position -- that seemed intended to influence the outcome of the election. Labor-law experts were "shocked" by the senator's brazenness.
Corker is not, in other words, the victim here.