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Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush smiles while talking to the media after visiting Integra Biosciences during a campaign stop in Hudson, New Hampshire on March 13, 2015. (Photo by Shannon Stapleton/Reuters)

That's not what 'moderate' means

04/01/15 10:05AM

About a month ago, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) appeared on an Iowa radio show, addressing listeners who seemed skeptical of his conservative bona fides. "There's nothing in my record that would suggest that I'm a moderate," Bush said on March 6. He added that he doesn't accept "the narrative."
 
But as the 2016 race takes shape, it's interesting to see who does accept "the narrative."
 
Politico published this report overnight about reactions from GOP leaders about Indiana's controversial SB101.
Bush took a moderate line, underscoring his strategy of running a general election campaign even before the primaries: He denied that the Indiana measure was discriminatory and echoed Pence's argument that Democrats like Bill Clinton had backed similar measures in the past. "This is really an important value for our country ... in a diverse country, where you can respect and be tolerant of people's lifestyles, but allow for people of faith to be able to exercise theirs," he told conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt.
My goal is not to pick on Politico, per se, but rather to highlight the flaw in making assumptions about presidential candidates, then shoe-horning developments into narratives that match those assumptions. If folks start from the assumption that Jeb Bush is the centrist in the race for the GOP nomination, then everything he does starts to appear mainstream.
 
But when it comes to Indiana's right-to-discriminate law, there's simply nothing "moderate" about Bush's stance.
Former United States Secretary of State Hillary Clinton speaks to the media in regards to her use of a private email server while serving as Secretary of State in New York, on March 10, 2015.

Benghazi panel wants private, not public, Clinton testimony

04/01/15 09:26AM

It's been clear for months that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would do for the new congressional Benghazi committee exactly what she's done for the other congressional Benghazi committees: answer questions and provide pertinent information. The issue was never whether Clinton would testify, but rather, when.
 
Alex Seitz-Wald reported yesterday that Clinton, the unannounced Democratic presidential hopeful, continues to volunteer her time to the House panel, but she's facing some unexpected resistance about the nature of the forum.
Rep. Trey Gowdy, the Republican who leads the House Select Committee on Benghazi, summoned Clinton Tuesday morning to sit for a private interview with the committee before May 1. Clinton has previous said she is ready and willing to testify, and a spokesperson reiterated that position Tuesday afternoon.
 
"Secretary Clinton already told the committee months ago that she was ready to appear at a public hearing. It is by their choice that hasn't happened. To be clear, she remains ready to appear at a hearing open to the American public," spokesperson Nick Merrill said.
This may seem counter-intuitive given the circumstances. The House Select Committee on Benghazi -- the eighth congressional panel to seek answers to questions that have already been answered -- seems to exist solely to undermine Clinton and her likely White House ambitions.
 
Given this, it's tempting to assume that Gowdy, the far-right GOP chairman of the panel, would want as big a public spectacle as possible, featuring cameras, crowds, and drama, as Republicans pound the table and demand answers. Similarly, it's also tempting to assume Clinton would want a private, closed-door discussion, shielded from public scrutiny, so as to deny attention to discredited conspiracy theories and prevent voters from seeing her on the defensive in response to GOP grilling.
 
Except, those assumptions are backwards -- Clinton wants a public hearing for all the world to see, while Republicans have invited the former secretary to a "private interview."
 
Why is that?
US Representative Mike Pence (R-IN) (L) and Senator Jim DeMint (R-SC) arrive for a news conference about their goal of permanently extending Bush-era tax rates at the Capitol in Washington, Dec. 2, 2010. (Photo by Jonathan Ernst/Reuters)

Mike Pence's contradictory assurances

04/01/15 08:44AM

Six days ago, on March 26, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence (R) signed his state's new "Religious Freedom Restoration Act" into law, and he couldn't have been more pleased.
"Today I signed the Religious Freedom Restoration Act, because I support the freedom of religion for every Hoosier of every faith," the governor said in a statement released shortly after he signed Senate Bill 101.
Three days ago, on March 29, Pence agreed the law may need to be changed.
Gov. Mike Pence, scorched by a fast-spreading political firestorm, told The Star on Saturday that he will support the introduction of legislation to "clarify" that Indiana's controversial Religious Freedom Restoration Act does not promote discrimination against gays and lesbians.
Two days ago, on March 30, Pence reversed course, saying the law would not be changed.
"Look, we're not going to change the law, OK?"
One day ago, on March 31, Pence held a press conference to say the law must be fixed.
"Let me say I believe this is a clarification, but it's also a fix.... We will fix this and we will move forward."
And then yesterday afternoon, still on March 31, Pence told Fox News' Sean Hannity the law doesn't need to be fixed.
"I stand by this law. The law doesn't need to be fixed."
So, which is it?
Asa Hutchinson

Following in Indiana's footsteps?

04/01/15 08:00AM

Republican policymakers in Indiana, led by Gov. Mike Pence (R), were warned that approval of a right-to-discriminate bill would spark a civil-rights backlash against the Hoosier State. Pence and his allies didn't listen. They should have.
 
Condemnations of Indiana's new anti-gay measure have been fierce and widespread, and the GOP governor finds himself under intense fire from the private, public, and non-profit sectors. Pence is now open to making some changes, but while we wait, the damage has already been considerable.
 
And yet, 600 miles to the South, another group of Republican policymakers are watching this fiasco unfold, and they're effectively asking themselves, "How can we bring a similar firestorm of criticism to our state?"
Arkansas' Republican-controlled House of Representatives gave its final stamp of approval Tuesday to House Bill 1228, otherwise known as the Religious Freedom Restoration Act (RFRA), according to KARK. It now heads to the desk of the state's Republican Gov. Asa Hutchinson, who said last week that he would sign the bill. [...]
 
Arkansas' legislation is nearly identical to Indiana's RFRA, which has become the subject of widespread condemnation from businesses, organizations, celebrities and politicians.
As Emma Margolin's msnbc report noted, Wal-Mart, a retail behemoth headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, yesterday announced its opposition to the measure and urged the governor to veto it.
 
"Every day, in our stores, we see firsthand the benefits of diversity and inclusion have on our associates, customers and communities we serve," CEO Doug McMillon said in a statement. "It all starts with our core basic belief of respect for the individual. Today's passage of HB1228 threatens to undermine the spirit of inclusion present throughout the state of Arkansas and does not reflect the values we proudly uphold. For these reasons, we are asking Governor Hutchinson to veto this legislation."
 
We'll learn later today whether Hutchinson, just three months into his first term, takes the advice seriously. But in the meantime, it's worth appreciating the degree to which Arkansas is deliberately following in Indiana's footsteps, despite Indiana's self-imposed political crisis.

Walmart wants a veto in Arkansas and other headlines

04/01/15 07:17AM

Walmart calls on Arkansas governor to veto the just-passed "religious freedom" bill. (Arkansas Times)

A day after missing deadline, Iran nuclear talks resume. (AP)

Iraqi prime minister declares victory against ISIS in Tikrit. (Washington Post)

Watchdog groups say 2016 hopefuls are dodging campaign finance rules. (Wall Street Journal)

Secret, unlimited donations could boost a Jeb Bush run. (Washington Post)

Scott Walker, allergic to dogs, may run against political history. (New York Times)

After Christie's privatization, NJ Lottery missing targets. (AP)

Obama commutes sentences of 22 people in federal prison. (AP)

What a typhoon looks like from space. (@AstroSamantha)

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Tuesday's Mini-Report, 3.31.15

03/31/15 05:30PM

Today's edition of quick hits:
 
* It's not just Indiana: "Lawmakers in Indiana are scrambling to clarify a religious freedom law amid a national firestorm. But their counterparts in Arkansas are pushing ahead with a similar measure -- and the governor says he'll sign it."
 
* A flexible deadline: "With several sticking points still to be worked out, negotiations on a nuclear deal with Iran will continue past Tuesday night's deadline into Wednesday, the State Department said."
 
* Criminal justice: "President Barack Obama commuted the sentences of 22 individuals on Tuesday, more than doubling the number of commutations he has issued in the six-plus years he's been in office. The men and women granted the reprieves had been imprisoned under an 'outdated sentencing regime,' the administration concluded. Eight of the 22 inmates had been sentenced to life imprisonment and would have died behind bars."
 
* Climate: "The United States officially submitted its emissions-cutting target to the United Nations on Tuesday morning, formalizing its commitment to reducing emissions 26 to 28 percent below 2005 levels by 2025. The Obama administration had previously announced the goal in its work with China on a bilateral climate agreement. The Tuesday submission makes the pledge official."
 
* Egypt: "The United States will resume its paused military aid to Egypt, the White House said Tuesday, signaling the Obama administration's desire to help a key Middle Eastern ally confront militant threats despite concerns about its repressive stance on human rights."
 
* Yemen: "An unlikely alliance with a deposed dictator appears to have helped Yemen's advancing Shiite insurgents weather intensifying airstrikes directed at them by a Saudi Arabia-led coalition."
 
* Follow-up on a story out of Alabama we discussed this morning: "Senator Larry Stutts announced Tuesday he is withdrawing his maternity stay Bill. The bill would repeal a code that says insurance must cover a minimum stay of 48 hours in the hospital after a woman gives birth."
Navy Chaplain Lt. Gordon J. Klingenschmitt is pictured as he conducts a worship service in front of the White House, background, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2006, in Washington, D.C. (Photo by Manuel Balce Ceneta/AP)

Colorado's Klingenschmitt already making a name for himself

03/31/15 04:53PM

With over 7,000 state legislators nationwide, it's inevitable some that oddballs are going to get elected, but by any fair measure, Colorado's Gordon Klingenschmitt is a very special case.
 
As we discussed back in November -- shortly after he got elected to Colorado's General Assembly for the first time -- Klingenschmitt is not just another social conservative activist. Rather, the former Navy chaplain is a rather extraordinary figure in the religious right, best known for, among other things, claiming to have rid a woman of the "foul spirit of lesbianism" through an exorcism. He also wrote a book arguing, in all seriousness, that President Obama is possessed by demons. He didn't mean that metaphorically.
 
Given this background, the question was not whether Klingenschmitt would embarrass himself, his party, and his office, but when. With this in mind, the Denver Post reported yesterday:
The leader of the House Republicans on Monday stripped Rep. Gordon Klingenschmitt from one of his two committee posts, saying the lawmaker's "curse of God" comments about a woman whose fetus was ripped from her womb were in "poor taste" and "insensitive."
 
Minority Leader Brian DelGrosso said he removed Klingenschmitt from the Health, Insurance and Environment Committee because he believed "there needed to be some kind of disciplinary action."
Klingenschmitt considers the punishment unfair. I'm not sure why anyone would agree with him.
U.S. Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) in Washington on Feb. 3, 2015.

Rubio, Clinton, and the fine art of email politics

03/31/15 03:19PM

As Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) gets ready to launch his presidential campaign, he's making the rounds and fine-tuning his message, all of which brought the Florida Republican to the set of Fox News' "The Five" yesterday. There was a noteworthy exchange that stood out for me.
 
The conservative co-hosts seemed preoccupied with the Hillary Clinton email story -- one called it "so devastating" -- though Rubio was largely dismissive of the story, saying the former Secretary of State has "bigger problems than emails."
 
But the co-hosts stuck with the story they care about, which led Fox's Julie Roginsky to raise a good point. From the Nexis transcript:
ROGINSKY: I guess this is -- this is the question for everybody and any position of influence. Do you have a private server or private email that you ever use or --
 
RUBIO: Sure. But I don't put sensitive information on there and I'm not then, I'm not involved in, in you know, communicating with my staff about things that put the diplomacy of the United States at risk. In fact, I don't write anything that is national security related on an email, because I know that they are potentially targets for foreign adversary.
 
ROGINSKY: And this is not directed to you, but I think directed to anybody who would give that quite answer, would you be able to then, disclose all your private emails so that you can assure people with that?
At this point, Dana Perino, the former press secretary in the Bush/Cheney White House, jumped in to criticize Clinton in more detail, and Rubio never responded to the question.
 
Which is further evidence that the politics of emails is trickier than Republican would like.
Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) holds a press conference March 31, 2015 at the Indiana State Library in Indianapolis, Ind. (Photo by Aaron P. Bernstein/Getty)

Indiana's Pence looks for 'fix,' blames Obamacare

03/31/15 12:40PM

Indiana Gov. Mike Pence (R) seems acutely aware of the fact that he created a firestorm when he ignored warnings and signed a right-to-discriminate bill into law last week. He's less sure what to do about it now.
 
The Republican governor, and possible presidential candidate, published a Wall Street Journal op-ed overnight in which Pence outlined his plan to address businesses that exploit his new law to discriminate against gay consumers: "If I saw a restaurant owner refuse to serve a gay couple, I wouldn't eat there anymore."
 
As Rachel joked on the show last night, "So, if you were worried that gay people might be refused service by a business in Indiana now, don't worry. That could never happen because the state has decided to wield the grave threat of depriving businesses of Mike Pence's personal patronage."
 
In the same piece, the Hoosier State governor suggested this whole mess can be traced back to Obamacare.
Many states have enacted [Religious Freedom Restoration Acts] of their own ...  but Indiana never passed such a law. Then in 2010 came the Affordable Care Act, which renewed concerns about government infringement on deeply held religious beliefs. Hobby Lobby and the University of Notre Dame both filed lawsuits challenging provisions that required the institutions to offer certain types of insurance coverage in violation of their religious views.
 
Last year the Supreme Court upheld religious liberty in Burwell v. Hobby Lobby, based on the federal RFRA. With the Supreme Court’s ruling, the need for a RFRA at the state level became more important, as the federal law does not apply to states. To ensure that religious liberty is fully protected under Indiana law, this year the General Assembly enshrined these principles in Indiana law. I fully supported that action.
Hmm. Indiana businesses can now discriminate against gay people because of the ACA's contraception policy?
 
This apparently wasn't persuasive, either, leading Pence to announce this morning his support for a legislative "fix."

Tuesday's Campaign Round-Up, 3.31.15

03/31/15 12:00PM

Today's installment of campaign-related news items that won't necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
 
* A new 2016 Quinnipiac poll offers some strange results. The survey focused specifically on Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, where Hillary Clinton fares pretty well, though she trails Jeb Bush in Florida by three, 45% to 42%, and trails Rand Paul in Pennsylvania by one, 45% to 44%.
 
* Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who'll be on "The Rachel Maddow Show" tonight, talked to NBC's Savannah Guthrie earlier, and when asked about 2016, the senator said, "No. I am not running and I am not going to run." That settles that.
 
* One of Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal's (R) lawsuits against Common Core educations standards -- a policy he supported until he learned the GOP base's position -- was thrown out of court yesterday. The unannounced Republican presidential candidate has vowed to appeal.
 
* Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) has made no secret of his White House ambitions, and his team announced late yesterday that the senator will launch his presidential campaign in Miami on April 13.
 
* Rubio's official kickoff will likely come six days after Sen. Rand Paul's (R-Ky.) launch, which is scheduled for April 7.

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