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Thursday's Campaign Round-Up, 12.5.19

12/05/19 12:00PM

Today's installment of campaign-related news items from across the country.

* In a bit of a surprise, Rep. Denny Heck (D-Wash.), a member of the House Intelligence Committee, announced he'll retire at the end of this Congress. So far this year, however, Republican congressional retirements heavily outnumber Democratic retirements.

* In California, the latest poll from the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies found Bernie Sanders leading the Democrats' 2020 field with 24%, followed closely by Elizabeth Warren with 22%. The survey shows Joe Biden third in the Golden State with 14%, followed by Pete Buttigieg at 12%. (Note, the poll, which showed Kamala Harris with 7%, was conducted before the senator's withdrawal from the race.)

* The National Republican Congressional Committee is cutting aid to George Buck Jr. (R), Rep. Charlie Crist's (D-Fla.) rival, following a recent email in which Buck appears to have made death threats toward Democratic Reps. Ilhan Omar, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Ayanna Pressley, and Rashida Tlaib. Buck denied having written the email, which was sent along with his signature.

* Apparently trying to make up for lost time, former Mayor Michael Bloomberg is investing "tens of millions of more dollars" in a new television ad campaign in support of his Democratic presidential bid that will air in all 50 states.

* Norm Sterzenbach, an Iowa political veteran who served as the state director for Beto O'Rourke's ill-fated presidential campaign, this week joined Sen. Amy Klobuchar's operation in the Hawkeye State.

* Outgoing Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin (R) yesterday offered a new explanation for his recent defeat. "The left, those who think of a different ideological bent, they are getting so good at harvesting votes in the urban communities," the Republican told 55KRC in Cincinnati. "They were able to go into urban communities where people are densely populated on college campuses and public housing projects."

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At Pelosi's direction, House to proceed with impeachment articles

12/05/19 11:10AM

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) held a closed-door caucus meeting with Democrats yesterday, and while there's no recording of her remarks, the Speaker reportedly asked her party's conference, "Are you ready?"

Pelosi was referring, of course, to the party's preparations to draw articles of impeachment against Donald Trump. Evidently, she was satisfied with her members' response to the question. After several months in which the House Speaker resisted calls for an impeachment inquiry, Pelosi delivered these remarks this morning:

"Our democracy is what is at stake. The president leaves us no choice but to act, because he is trying to corrupt, once again, the election for his own benefit.

"The president has engaged in abuse of power undermining our national security and jeopardizing the integrity of our elections. His actions are in defiance of the vision of our Founders and the oath of office that he takes 'to preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.'

"Sadly, but with confidence and humility, with allegiance to our founders and our hearts full of love for America, today, I am asking our chairmen to proceed with articles of impeachment."

As NBC News' report added, Pelosi's announcement came "one day after the House Judiciary Committee held its first hearing in the inquiry in which three of the four witnesses argued that Trump committed impeachable offenses, including in his campaign to pressure Ukraine to investigate the Bidens."

So, what happens now? Members of the Judiciary Committee will proceed with writing some articles of impeachment -- we don't yet know exactly how many -- though Pelosi's reference to "chairmen" suggests it's likely that House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) will be involved in the process.

Judiciary Committee Chairman Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) announced this morning that his panel will convene again on Monday morning for a hearing "to receive presentations from counsels to the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence and House Judiciary Committee." The press notice added, "Counsels for the Majority and the Minority will present for their respective Committees."

In effect, both parties' counsels will present their findings, clearing the way for the Judiciary Committee to begin the markup phase -- debating and voting on articles of impeachment -- as early as late next week. (Remember, White House officials were offered an opportunity to present evidence in defense of the president, but so far, they've refused to participate in the process.)

If we assume the committee advances articles -- which seems like a safe bet under the circumstances -- we appear to be on track for a floor vote on impeachment the week before Christmas.

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Stumbling on trade with China, Trump turns to Jared Kushner (again)

12/05/19 10:18AM

Nearly two months ago, Donald Trump delivered a speech in which he touted his ability to do "great things." As proof, the president said, "Look at what we did yesterday with China."

The comments came about 24 hours after Trump told reporters, "So, we just made what, I guess, is one of the biggest deals that's been made in a long time, with China." The president went on to say, "[I]f you look at the deal, the deal is so incredible. The deal is a great deal."

In reality, there was no deal. Trump had already abandoned plans for a comprehensive trade agreement with Beijing, choosing instead to pursue a more modest "phase one" trade deal that he hoped would lead to additional progress. In October, the Republican bragged as if that initial "phase" was complete, but no such agreement was reached.

Indeed, Trump was forced to concede this week that the trade deal he said was finished in October may not come until after next year's U.S. elections.

It's against this backdrop that the American president is turning to a familiar figure to help with negotiations with Beijing. Reuters reported yesterday:

President Donald Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner has added another role to his long list of White House duties - U.S.-China trade negotiator - as Washington and Beijing try to reach an initial agreement to avoid new U.S. tariffs on Dec. 15.

People familiar with the talks said Kushner ... has increased his direct involvement in the negotiations with China over the past two weeks.... A White House official confirmed Kushner's involvement, but declined to provide specific details on the influence he has had on the negotiations. Speaking on condition of anonymity, the official said Kushner has recently met with Cui Tiankai, the Chinese ambassador to the United States.

This report comes just a week after Trump's young son-in-law also became the "de facto project manager" for constructing a border wall ahead of the president's re-election bid.

At the start of Trump's presidency, Kushner's comically expansive policy portfolio became a running joke. In time, as the White House team gradually expanded, the joke faded, though it's apparently made a startling comeback.

That said, the scope of the problem goes quite a bit further.

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Rep. Duncan Hunter, R-Calif., participates in a news conference.

When will Congress' newest criminal resign his seat?

12/05/19 09:24AM

When then-Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.) agreed to plead guilty to charges relating to insider trading, he issued a letter of resignation the same day, and it took effect one day later. It seemed like an obvious thing to do: there's no requirement that forces convicted criminals to resign from Congress, but common sense suggests it's the appropriate next step.

Indeed, it's the pattern others have also followed. When then-Rep. Chaka Fattah (D-Pa.) was convicted of corruption charges, he resigned two days later, in part because Democratic leaders told him he didn't have a choice. A year earlier, then-Rep. Michael Grimm (R-N.Y.) stated publicly that he intended to keep his seat, even after pleading guilty to tax fraud, though he too soon realized that resignation was his only credible option.

All of which leads us to Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-Calif.), who's been caught up in an ugly corruption scandal, and who agreed this week to plead guilty to misusing campaign funds. As the California Republican awaits sentencing -- prison time is a distinct possibility -- his resignation is a foregone conclusion, right?

Not necessarily. Politico reported yesterday:

Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-Calif.) is showing no signs of stepping down from office despite his guilty plea Tuesday on a felony campaign finance charge in federal court.

When asked Wednesday about whether and when he intended to resign, Hunter blew off the question. "Good talk," Hunter told a POLITICO reporter.

The article added that both parties' leaders want to see Hunter step down, though he has not yet met with House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) about his future.

And what happens if Hunter refuses to quit? There are a couple of angles to keep in mind.

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An electronic benefit card for Georgia's food stamp program sits on the counter of Shinholster Grocery & Meat in Irwinton, Ga., Nov. 21, 2013.

After cutting taxes for the wealthy, Team Trump targets food stamps

12/05/19 08:40AM

Donald Trump has exactly one major legislative accomplishment: he signed an unpopular and regressive package of tax cuts approved by congressional Republicans two years ago. Apparently eager to create a modern-day Dickensian story, the Trump administration is now taking the next step, making it more difficult for many Americans to access the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), commonly known as food stamps.

The USDA rule change affects people between the ages of 18 and 49 who are childless and not disabled. Under current rules, this group is required to work at least 20 hours a week for more than three months over a 36-month period to qualify for food stamps, but states have been able to create waivers for areas that face high unemployment.

The new rule would limit states from waiving those standards, instead restricting their use to those areas that have a 6 percent unemployment rate or higher.

An analysis from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities fleshed this out further, noting that the "draconian rule" adversely affects "the poorest of the poor": Americans whose average income "is just 18 percent of the poverty line." Currently, their average monthly SNAP benefits total about $165 per month.

And now, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities analysis added, the Republican administration is ending "basic food assistance for nearly 700,000 of the nation's poorest and most destitute people."

In case this weren't Dickensian enough, let's also note for context that the news is reaching the public just a few weeks before Christmas.

What's more, as New York's Sarah Jones explained, this isn't the only element of the Trump administration's plans to restrict low-income Americans' access to food assistance:

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Image: BELGIUM-NATO-DEFENCE-POLITICS-DIPLOMACY-MEETING

Biden hits Trump where it hurts, labels him a global 'laughing stock'

12/05/19 08:00AM

At a Buckingham Palace reception on Tuesday, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, French President Emmanuel Macron, and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson were recorded sharing a few candid thoughts as the latest NATO summit neared its conclusion. Not surprisingly, they appeared to have some concerns about Donald Trump.

The recorded rhetoric could've been far worse, though there was one obvious takeaway from the incident: the leaders of some of the United States' closest allies clearly don't have much respect for the current American president.

And as the Washington Post reported, that simple fact has become the basis for a striking new campaign ad.

Former vice president Joe Biden, a Democratic presidential candidate, released a new campaign ad late Wednesday highlighting the NATO video in a blistering critique of Trump's ability to lead on the global stage. Biden's campaign also mocked Trump's repeated insistence that the U.S. requires a president who isn't a "laughing stock," ending the ad with a graphic that read, "We need a leader the world respects." By early Thursday, the roughly minute-long video had been watched more than 4 million times.

"The world is laughing at President Trump," Biden tweeted. "They see him for what he really is: dangerously incompetent and incapable of world leadership."

In the latter half of the ad, the Democratic candidate describes the president as "insincere, ill-informed, corrupt, dangerously incompetent, and incapable, in my view, of world leadership."

Biden added, "And if we give Donald Trump four more years, we'll have a great deal of difficulty of ever being able to recover America's standing in the world, and our capacity to bring nations together."

If you watch the clip, note that this week's exchange in London isn't the only featured example of Trump facing ridicule on the international stage. The Biden campaign's ad also shows the Republican being laughed at during remarks at the United Nations, among other embarrassing moments. (My personal favorite remains Trump's decision to push aside Montenegro Prime Minister Dusko Markovic at a 2017 NATO gathering in preparation for a group photo.)

Why is it that this ad has struck a chord so quickly? I think there are a few angles to keep in mind.

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Wednesday's Mini-Report, 12.4.19

12/04/19 05:30PM

Today's edition of quick hits:

* Quite a day: "Three prominent legal scholars testified Wednesday at the House Judiciary Committee that President Donald Trump committed impeachable offenses when he attempted to condition a White House visit by the Ukrainian president and aid to the country on the launching of political investigations."

* Adding to the list of Trump's foreign failures: "President Donald Trump barreled out of the NATO gathering here ever more the global outsider, passing up a high-profile presidential moment as impeachment bore down on him back home."

* In related news: "President Donald Trump blasted Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as 'two-faced' on Wednesday after Trudeau was caught on an open mic with other world leaders discussing the NATO meeting in London and referencing Trump's lengthy press conferences."

* As part of that same story, let's also note that Trump was overheard saying earlier today, "That was funny when I said the guy's two-faced." (The president's definition of "funny" is odd.)

* One more NATO-related item, since the Trump/Erdogan relationship has become so controversial: "President Donald Trump on Wednesday morning participated in an unannounced meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, following months of scrutiny over the administration's posture toward Ankara and controversial shifts in Syria policy."

* A rare example of bipartisanship: "Robocalls have seemingly done the impossible: Unite a toxically divided Washington. A sweeping 417-3 House vote Wednesday left Congress on the verge of passing legislation aimed at knocking back the billions of unwanted automated phone calls that torment Americans each month, amid hopes the Senate can send the measure to President Donald Trump by Christmas."

* I think he's trying to kill irony: "Rep. Devin Nunes (Calif.), the top Republican on the House Intelligence Committee ... argued Democrats are crafting 'conspiracy theories' in an attempt to control the narrative on impeachment."

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GOP confirms fierce opponent of reproductive rights to federal bench

12/04/19 03:44PM

It's not just the quantity of Donald Trump's judicial nominees who've been confirmed by Senate Republicans; as regular readers know, it's also the quality that's striking.

Sarah Pitlyk, for example, received a "not qualified" rating from the American Bar Association, and the ABA's rationale is quite persuasive: "Ms. Pitlyk has never tried a case as lead or co-counsel, whether civil or criminal. She has never examined a witness. Though Ms. Pitlyk has argued one case in a court of appeals, she has not taken a deposition. She has not argued any motion in a state or federal trial court. She has never picked a jury. She has never participated at any stage of a criminal matter."

So why in the world did she get a judicial nomination from Donald Trump? It probably has something to do with Pitlyk being a Federalist Society member, a former Brett Kavanaugh clerk, and a fierce opponent of reproductive rights who's argued that fertility treatments and surrogacy have "grave" adverse effects on society. Jennifer Bendery explained this week:

In private practice and as special counsel at Thomas More Society, Pitlyk established a clear record of attacking reproductive rights. She defended anti-abortion activist David Daleiden, who broke federal and state laws by secretly recording and deceptively editing videos that falsely claimed to expose Planned Parenthood's illegal sale of fetal tissue. She defended Iowa's six-week abortion ban that was later struck down as unconstitutional. In another case, Pitlyk argued that it is "scientific fact" that "human life begins at the moment when a human sperm fertilizes a human egg." (It is not scientific fact.)

After losing that case, Pitlyk lamented that "the trial court's judgment treated the embryonic children as inanimate objects, not human beings with the same interests as other unborn children."

It's against this backdrop that the Trump White House chose Pitlyk for a lifetime appointment to the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Missouri. This afternoon, the 42-year-old conservative was confirmed by the Republican-led Senate on a 49-44 vote.

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Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York, speaks during a campaign event for Donald Trump, 2016 Republican presidential nominee, in Phoenix, Ariz., Aug. 31, 2016. (Photo by David Paul Morris/Bloomberg/Getty)

Despite scrutiny, Giuliani heads abroad to advance pro-Trump gambit

12/04/19 12:54PM

Common sense suggests Rudy Giuliani should probably take it easy for a while, and perhaps consider a lower profile. After all, Donald Trump's personal attorney is reportedly facing a possible criminal investigation, and as the presidential impeachment process moves forward, the former New York City mayor is at the center of a highly scandalous scheme.

But Giuliani isn't laying low at all. The New York Times reported today on his latest trip abroad and the extension of his misguided mission in eastern Europe.

Even as Democrats intensified their scrutiny this week of Rudolph W. Giuliani's role in the pressure campaign against the Ukrainian government that is at the heart of the impeachment inquiry, Mr. Giuliani has been in Europe continuing his efforts to shift the focus to purported wrongdoing by President Trump's political rivals.

Mr. Giuliani, the president's personal lawyer, met in Budapest on Tuesday with a former Ukrainian prosecutor, Yuriy Lutsenko, who has become a key figure in the impeachment inquiry. He then traveled to Kyiv on Wednesday seeking to meet with other former Ukrainian prosecutors whose claims have been embraced by Republicans, including Viktor Shokin and Kostiantyn H. Kulyk, according to people familiar with the effort.

To provide some context to this, note that Giuliani published a tweet this week, announcing that he'd begun work on "an important project" with the One America News Network (OANN), which is effectively a media outlet for those who see Fox News as a bit too moderate.

The Republican lawyer added that the project intends to "bring before the American people" information that House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) and his recent proceedings "covered up."

If this is starting to sound a little kooky, it gets much worse.

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Wednesday's Campaign Round-Up, 12.4.19

12/04/19 12:00PM

Today's installment of campaign-related news items from across the country.

* According to a report in the Topeka Capital-Journal, freshman Rep. Steve Watkins (R-Kan.) listed a UPS Store on his election documents and voter-registration form as his residential address. The article added that the Kansas Republican is facing allegations of "voter fraud under federal law and election perjury under state statute."

* Speaking of Kansas, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, despite being tarnished by the Ukraine scandal, has reportedly taken steps to line up financial support for a possible U.S. Senate campaign. The Republican's efforts have reportedly included outreach to Sheldon Adelson and Charles Koch, the latter of whom is a Kansan who's supported Pompeo's elections in the past.

* VoteVets, the nation's largest progressive group of veterans, announced its endorsement this morning for Pete Buttigieg's Democratic presidential campaign. The mayor is one of only two military veterans running in 2020.

* In Texas, state Rep. Rick Miller (R) lost his party's support after making controversial comments about his Asian-American primary rivals, and this morning, the Republican state lawmaker ended his re-election bid altogether.

* And speaking of the Lone Star State, a Beacon Research poll in Texas showed Sen. John Cornyn (R) with a narrow lead in a hypothetical match-up against former Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D), 46% to 42%. The same poll, however, found the Republican incumbent with double-digit leads over the Democrats who are actually in the race.

* After Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) exited the presidential race yesterday, Donald Trump taunted her on Twitter. The Democratic senator responded soon after, "Don't worry, Mr. President. I'll see you at your trial."

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