Democrats were probably feeling a sigh of relief last week when three major national polls were released over the course of three days, each of which showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by six points
, even with third-party candidates in the mix. As of this morning, however, that sense of relief has all but disappeared.
Three national polls have been released over the last 24 hours, and each show Clinton's lead evaporating. Let's start with the Washington Post
/ABC News poll
, released yesterday morning.
Four-way race: Clinton 46%, Trump 44%
Head-to-head match-up: Clinton 49%, Trump 47%
This was soon followed by the new Bloomberg Politics poll
Four-way race: Trump 43%, Clinton 41%
Head-to-head match-up: Clinton 46%, Trump 46%
And the new Quinnipiac poll
Four-way race: Clinton 44%, Trump 43%
Head-to-head match-up: Clinton 47%, Trump 46%
On the day of the first debate, in other words, the presidential race is effectively a dead heat. For all the easy assumptions -- so many have argued, "The United States just isn't the kind of country that would elect a racist television personality to be president" -- there's no denying the unavoidable fact that Donald J. Trump has a decent chance of winning the 2016 election. read more